Pomeroy has Iowa at 18-12 for the Year

ChosenChildren

ChosenChildren

Well-Known Member
The Pomeroy pre-season ratings made these predictions:

1. Iowa at 10-2 in the non-conference (they left out one game).
2. prediction of 8-10 in the Big Ten (obviously, no predictions on BTT or post-season)

Assuming a win in the other non-conference game, that would put Iowa at 19-12 for year, and right on the bubble.

I'm hoping for 11-2 non-conference, 9-9 in the Big Ten, and 1-1 in the Big Ten tourney for a record of 21-12 and an NCAA bid!

I know it is dangerous to make early predictions (lots of unknowns, including injuries and other negative events), but a fan can dream big!
 




ChosenChildren said:
The Pomeroy pre-season ratings made these predictions:

1. Iowa at 10-2 in the non-conference (they left out one game).
2. prediction of 8-10 in the Big Ten (obviously, no predictions on BTT or post-season)

Assuming a win in the other non-conference game, that would put Iowa at 19-12 for year, and right on the bubble.

I'm hoping for 11-2 non-conference, 9-9 in the Big Ten, and 1-1 in the Big Ten tourney for a record of 21-12 and an NCAA bid!

I know it is dangerous to make early predictions (lots of unknowns, including injuries and other negative events), but a fan can dream big!
Click to expand...

This exactly where I'm at as well. Would love to sweep the non-conference, but realize pretty much every team lets one or two get away. If we survive the brutal early Big Ten schedule and avoid injuries, I think 9-9 in the conference is realistic. Hopefully some of the nine we beat helps our RPI and we can slip into the big dance this year.
 






If you break the B1G schedule down, we play the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place choices (Michigan, OSU and MSU) once along with the 9th place pick, Illinois. Let's assume we lose all but the Illinois game, that puts us at 1-3. We then play the 1st, 5th, 6th, 8th, 10th, 11th and 12th place teams twice (Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Purdue, NW, PSU and Neb). Let's say we get swept by Indiana, split the 5th, 6th and 8th place pick games (Wisconsin, Minnesota and Purdue) and sweep the 10th, 11th and 12th place games (NW, PSU and Neb). Those results put us at 9-5. Combine the two and you have 10-8. Obviously it won't happen that way. We probably win a game or two we shouldn't and lose a game or two we shouldn't. But all in all, I think 10-8 is reasonable. Combine that with an easy non-con, which we hopefully can go 11-2 in and you've got an overall record of 21-10 before the BTT. I say we win the first and lose the second, which gives us an overall record of 22-11. That's probably good enough for a 9 or 10 seed in the NCAAs.
 






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