It gets pretty hard to figure dogs until you see how the season plays out. Let's say we beat the Clowns on the road. A road win against a ranked opponent is going to move us up in ranking and betting odds.
Going to chalk thereafter, we would be ranked and a slight favorite against Rutgers. Then we come home and are 4-0 and ranked against Indiana. We would be favored there. We are favored against Wisky on the road unless they get off to a hot start. Unless PSU is not what everyone thinks they are, we would be a home dog to PSU. Assuming a close loss, we are 6-1 and still ranked with one good loss. We would be favored against Minny and I think no matter what Oregon does, if we are 7-1 and reasonably ranked, we are not a home dog to Oregon. A push at best. If we win that one, we are favored in the last three games.
So, all we really need is to beat the betting odds at ISU and then the rest of the schedule can go to chalk. Simple!!