Lunardi's S-Curve plus Bubble scenarios

[99topdawg]

Lunardi's latest (SIAP) posted at 2:30 today:

• ON THE BUBBLE WITH A LOSS: La Salle (versus Butler, A-10 quarterfinal), Tennessee (versus Alabama, 3 p.m. ET, ESPNU, SEC quarterfinal), Kentucky (versus Vanderbilt, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3, SEC quarterfinal)
• MUST WIN TO STAY ON THE BUBBLE: Southern Miss (versus UTEP, C-USA semifinal), Akron (versus Kent State, 6:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3, MAC semifinal), Maryland (versus Duke, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2, ACC quarterfinal), Iowa (versus Michigan State, Big Ten quarterfinal), Ole Miss (versus Missouri, 10 p.m. ET, ESPN3, SEC quarterfinal)
[h=3]The bubble (12 teams for 4 spots)[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h]IN (4, in S-curve order):
46. La Salle, 47. Kentucky, 48. Virginia, 49. Tennessee
OUT (8, in S-curve order):
69. Boise State, 70. Middle Tennessee, 71. Ole Miss, 72. Southern Miss, 73. Alabama, 74. Iowa, 75. Baylor, 76. Maryland

 

[hawkfan1319]

Need Bama to lose right now but they see to be taking it to Tenn.

 

[HawksMN]

You can flush VA and LaSalle from this now. And either Bama or TN will move down.

 

[bcl20]

I still don't see what he sees that puts us behind some of those teams.

 

[99topdawg]

Need Bama to lose right now but they see to be taking it to Tenn.

If Bama and Iowa both win, I'd have to think that Iowa would have a good change to move past them, since beating MSU is better than beating Tennessee, but who knows.

 

[99topdawg]

Need Bama to lose right now but they see to be taking it to Tenn.

3 point game right now.

 

[bcl20]

Southern Miss, Boise State, Middle Tennessee and Alabama being ahead of us, I just don't agree with.

 

[WindsorHawk]

Looking at that curve I have to think an Iowa win puts us in Virginia's spot at 46 right now regardless of what happens with anyone else...yet to play.

 

[99topdawg]

Just updated again w/Virginia loss. I call bs on LaSalle:

LAST FOUR BYES
Oklahoma
California
Saint Mary's
Wichita State

LAST FOUR IN
Kentucky
Tennessee
Boise State (back in, replacing UVa)
La Salle (last in for now, despite loss)

FIRST FOUR OUT
Middle Tennessee
Virginia (drops out of field with loss)
Ole Miss
Southern Miss

NEXT FOUR OUT
Alabama
Iowa
Baylor
Maryland

 

[bcl20]

Just updated again w/Virginia loss. I call bs on LaSalle:

2 top 50 wins from what I can see. At Va Commonwealth is impressive but the Butler win is kind of meh at this point.

 

[Rlesterfan]

I still don't see what he sees that puts us behind some of those teams.

It is frustrating when you look at our top 50 wins against some of these teams.

 

[Rlesterfan]

Just updated again w/Virginia loss. I call bs on LaSalle:

LAST FOUR BYES
Oklahoma
California
Saint Mary's
Wichita State

LAST FOUR IN
Kentucky
Tennessee
Boise State (back in, replacing UVa)
La Salle (last in for now, despite loss)

FIRST FOUR OUT
Middle Tennessee
Virginia (drops out of field with loss)
Ole Miss
Southern Miss

NEXT FOUR OUT
Alabama
Iowa
Baylor
Maryland

Lunardi likes St. Marys much more than most people. If they make it, they will barely make it.

 

[bcl20]

It is frustrating when you look at our top 50 wins against some of these teams.

It's why I think we have a small shot, even with a loss tonight.

 

[DuffMan]

Southern Miss, Boise State, Middle Tennessee and Alabama being ahead of us, I just don't agree with.

What you agree with is irrelevant. Its what the committe agrees with that matters.

 

[bcl20]

What you agree with is irrelevant. Its what the committe agrees with that matters.

Oh, is that how it works?

 

[bcl20]

What a stupid thing to say.

 

[DDThompson]

What a stupid thing to say.

It's only a stupid thing to say if the committee says it's a stupid thing to say.