Iowa vs Illinois Prediction Thread
- Thread starter bcl20
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Tschroeder13
Well-Known Member
No way Iowa wins by more than 10
Big keys in the game if it holds up. Iowa is a good 3 point shooting defensive team, Illinois is 201st in rpg and 309th in apg. Iowa is 16th in rpg and 36th in apg. Play good team defense and stop the 3 ball, Iowa wins. Also, if Illinois is off on 3 point shooting that could lead to quite a few fast break points for Iowa, which is better than Iowa settling for jump shots.
bcl20
Well-Known Member
If we do what we're good at I find it hard to see them winning by less than 10.
I don't think either teams wins by 10 unless it's Illinois because they shoot >50% from 3.
dinfantry11b
Well-Known Member
anybody know if this game will be streaming online anywhere?
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Illinois shoots 33% from 3. We allow 28.5 % from 3 so they should shoot 30.75% from 3 tonight.
bcl20
Well-Known Member
Maybe, but my thought process is if we're rebounding missed threes, they aren't scoring because they are A, missing shots B, not getting extra possessions and C, we're getting run outs ( the only way we seem to score, leading to more points and a better shooting percentage that we usually have)
Plus, if we rebound like we can against these guys, we'll get extra possessions, leading to more points. The more I think about it, this seems like a good match up for us. If they get hot from three though, that could be trouble.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Iowa 76 - Illinois 63
I
ILHawk
Guest
Guard play - Unless JO opens up and May's solid skill can control IL's guards - huge advantage IL. Paul doesn't play D well be is recently improved. We have no answer for Richardson. Marble has similarities, but not as consistent.
Big Men - Griffey is on and off. He and white offer a lot of similarities and contrasts. A key match up - even if they aren't matched up. They are about a wash, but whichever one is better this game will be key. Igwu is too much for either Basabe or Woodbury .....if he can stay out of foul trouble. Would be a nice break out game for either woody or basabe.
Another key player is Bertrand. Closest Iowa has in Marble, except marble is not reluctant...to a fault and Bertand is. These 2 may be the best pure players on the floor. One is shy, the another needs to be more so at times.
IL has beaten 2 teams that have been #1 at some point this year. They do not like scrum play, which like it or not is an advantage to Iowa.
I think either IL will get a fast start and Iowa won't (and they won't do a MN as they don't rely on 1 player too much, or the game will be ugly and Iowa will win. IL's recent success has been as suspect as Iowa's with both having disappointing performances against very good teams on the road.
I think it will be scrummy and Iowa will pull out a late win.
For those of you that think Iowa has good perimeter D (I disagree), this will be a good test.
Big Men - Griffey is on and off. He and white offer a lot of similarities and contrasts. A key match up - even if they aren't matched up. They are about a wash, but whichever one is better this game will be key. Igwu is too much for either Basabe or Woodbury .....if he can stay out of foul trouble. Would be a nice break out game for either woody or basabe.
Another key player is Bertrand. Closest Iowa has in Marble, except marble is not reluctant...to a fault and Bertand is. These 2 may be the best pure players on the floor. One is shy, the another needs to be more so at times.
IL has beaten 2 teams that have been #1 at some point this year. They do not like scrum play, which like it or not is an advantage to Iowa.
I think either IL will get a fast start and Iowa won't (and they won't do a MN as they don't rely on 1 player too much, or the game will be ugly and Iowa will win. IL's recent success has been as suspect as Iowa's with both having disappointing performances against very good teams on the road.
I think it will be scrummy and Iowa will pull out a late win.
For those of you that think Iowa has good perimeter D (I disagree), this will be a good test.
I know, I meant the only way either team wins by 10+ is if Illinois shoots > 50% from 3. I should have worded it better.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Yeah, I got it the 2nd time I read it and tweaked my post...fortunately just before you could quote me.
So teams have just been bad at shooting open outside shots vs Iowa all year? While they aren't great at 3 point defense, they are better than average and definitely better than last year. So I would call it good.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
Also, Illinois likes to run some kind of 3 man weave out top and then someone finally gets bored after about 15 seconds and launches a 3. They can wipe out a lead very quickly and they can give up a lead very quickly...keep launching quick NBA 3s when they should work the clock.
Iowa? We actually are great at 3 point defense, we're 5th in the country in opponent 3pt FG% after 29 games.
I
ILHawk
Guest
Statistics don't tell the whole story. Today may be a good indicator. Iowa's interior D is so bad that 3's aren't necessary. We've had really only 1 good win this year against a good team that does good on the road in Wisky. MN was badly wounded and ISU has been pathetic on the true road. The MSU and IU home games weren't as in doubt as fan-atics like to think. Close yes in final score, but those teams were always in control. Iowa's scrum isn't easy to fight through either.
Hey, we'll all either be right or wrong in a few hours. Unfortunately I don't get to see it.
bcl20
Well-Known Member
Three Pt FG Defense - NCAA.com
Iowa allows more three point attempts than a good chunk of teams, so once again ILHawk has no idea what he's talking about.
Iowa allows more three point attempts than a good chunk of teams, so once again ILHawk has no idea what he's talking about.
