Who Gets In To The NCAA Tournament?

[HawkeyeHypnosis]

http://nyloncalculus.com/2015/03/04/who-gets-into-the-ncaa-tournament-version-3-0/

By team percentages.

Iowa - 72% at large; 73.77% Tourney probability

 

[PCHawk]

Weird. I would say we have a better chance than that to get in even if we lose out.

 

[mopkins]

I guess if Iowa loses to NW and then gets a 5/6 seed in the BTT and loses again to like Rutgers they could be in trouble?

 

[PCHawk]

I guess if Iowa loses to NW and then gets a 5/6 seed in the BTT and loses again to like Rutgers they could be in trouble?

Yea but there is a 25% chance we lose at home to Northwestern, lose to a bad team in the tourney, and have our bubble burst on selection sunday?

 

[mopkins]

Yea but there is a 25% chance we lose at home to Northwestern, lose to a bad team in the tourney, and have our bubble burst on selection sunday?

Wouldn't that be the ultimate kick in the nuts after last season and the momentum/enthusiasm Iowa has going on right now?

 

[HawkeyeHypnosis]

Here's the explanation on how they came about the numbers

http://nyloncalculus.com/2015/01/20/gets-ncaa-tournament/

 

[Cardinals54]

A couple years ago there was a big point about how teams were trending at the end of the year. I'm not sure if it's still a big consideration, but if so yesterday should've locked a bid for us. Not too many teams trending higher than Iowa right now.

 

[HawksMN]

This is stupidness. Iowa is in even two losses wont change that.

 

[Cardinals54]

This is stupidness. Iowa is in even two losses wont change that.

Lol. Stupidness. Can I use that??

 

[DrKnipe]

As I see it Iowa has a 50-50 chance of getting in. Although there's only a 10% chance of that.

 

[trizo]

Thought we've been in a couple games now but nice to not have to worry.

 

[OUTofTOWNHAWK]

Iowa is a lock. Fact.

 

[forgottenman]

Iowa is a lock. Fact.

Surprise, Surprise. BS prediction models are BS.

 

[StatelineHawk]

This is stupidness. Iowa is in even two losses wont change that.

This!!!