I think it's a pretty high chance Wieskamp and Garza are your top 2 scorers. It wouldn't surprise me if Garza ends up being the top scorer. He averaged 2 more points a game last year than Joe did and to me appeared less hesitant to let it fly. Advanced stats agree with my eyes, Garza averaged 7 more shots and about 9 more points per 100 possessions than Joe. All indications are that Joe is ready to step up his game though, so we'll see how much more aggressive he is with the increased touches that will be coming his way.
As for who will be #3? I think that's a good question. I can see a path for pretty much everyone on scholarship outside of Till being that guy.
Nunge/Pemsl/Kriener - Will any of them emerge and get enough minutes with the other two also vying for the starting spot and rotation minutes in the post?
- Nunge - Will he live up to and show the potential many on this board believe he has as a stretch 4?
- Pemsl - Is he the healthiest he's been since basically middle school and ready to elevate into a big time role or will he stick with being a solid rotation player?
- Kriener - Several media people have indicated he's talked about becoming a leader this year. Will he grab the bull by the horns as a senior or will he continue to be what he has been, a solid rotation player?
McCaffrey/Toussaint/Bohannon*- Barring a healthy Bohannon, will one of the other two pass first guys emerge as the clear #1 PG, yet alone get up enough shots?
- McCaffrey - Will he be less hesitant to let if fly from deep and shoot around 40% from 3 like he did in high school?
- Toussaint - Will he be ready to step up and play big minutes or will he struggle? Does he have the ability to get buckets consistently at the Big Ten level?
- Bohannon - He'll be top 3 if he's fully healthy and actually plays.
Fredrick/Evelyn/McCaffrey - Will any of them emerge as the 2nd best off ball guard/wing option or will they split time fairly evenly?
- Fredrick - Will he be the starting 2 or will he be coming off the bench? Is he more than a sharpshooter or is he another Ellingson/Oglesby type? Indications are he has a more rounded game, we'll see.
- Evelyn - Is he healthy? Will he carve out starter minutes or will he be a rotation guy? Will he shoot 38% from 3 like he did as a SO at Valpo or 30% like he did last year?
- McCaffrey - How ready is Pat to contribute and be a consistent scorer at the Big Ten level? He appears to have the skill, will he have the strength? How many minutes does he end up actually averaging?
If I had to rank a top 3 on who will be the 3rd scorer off of gut feeling and how many minutes I think they will be getting, I'd probably go with:
1a. Evelyn - If he's healthy. The guy was a high volume shooter for Valpo and fairly efficient as a SO, not so much last year.
1b. Fredrick - If Evelyn isn't fully healthy, it has to be him, he'll have the best opportunity of consistent playing time.
3. Nunge - I really like Jack but I'm hesitant to list him at #1 with Pemsl and Kriener in the fold for solid minutes in the post.
All in all, there are so many new pieces to work with that I wouldn't be surprised if several guys are basically tied for the #3 scoring spot. It should be a fun season to watch evolve as the rotation figures itself out.