Thoughts...please bear with me...it's long.

HawkeyeWalker

Well-Known Member
I fully expect some TL;DR. Understandable, this was as much for my own sanity to get some things out....

Positives are in short order in Hawkeye Nation these days. NIU and MSU were big games. I think the vast majority were very understanding that this could be a 6 win team, maybe 7 if things went well. Losing both of those games was a huge blow to many as I don't think hardly anyone being realistic, thought we would win more than one(MAYBE two) in October. If we come out of the OSU, NW, WISC gauntlet 1-2 I would be very pleased.

Purdue is winnable if we don't fall apart....Maybe we can steal one against nebby or Mich.

It's a bleak forcast though, which...along with a fake punt travesty and further waining of support for the staff, makes the MSU loss more difficult....almost everyone thought we needed that one.

I have been pretty clear in my support for KF, and have always stated that although there are gameday issues, the overall pros outweighed the cons. That said, there are a few things I am struggling with.....

Giving up the fake punts, kicks, onsides: I want to defend this but can't. While I think we had the right call on NIU and just didn't execute AND I think it was a great call by MSU that outside of us as fans always now expecting it, I just don't understand how it can be that open. I am at a loss here and I expect this fixed immediately.

Offensive Line: While not a juggernaut, all signs pointed to this being a strength. I don't think MSU is necessarily a great indicator of struggling, as they have a Dline that would give almost everyone issues...but the line has seemed to be very inconsistant, sometimes looking very good, and other times being out of sync even against lesser competition.

RB: I may be jumping to early with this as I actually didn't mind not continuing trying to run, it just wasn't there on Saturday. And we may start to see more of the RB depth going forward, especially after a bye week. I also know blocking is extremely important. All of that said, I would think even 5-10 combined carries a game for Daniels and Canzeri would go a long way in development. I don't claim to know the inner workings, and none of us are in daily practice so its all conjecture. Time will tell but there is some precedence set for a little concern here.

Kick/Punt Coverage: Again, I am not going to sit here and make it sound like its a simple thing to fix. Just an observation that the first couple guys(gunners) that get there seem to break down to late. The first guys don't need to make the tackle, just disrupt the blocking and make the returner pause. I've seen this a few times now. This has to Be fixed pronto, whatever the issue is.

D-backfield: This has me frustrated, I don't know if its experience, talent, schemes, coaching or what. I am hoping it's experience and King did seem to make strides. It's a very tough position for a true or redshirt freshman and we had two of them on Saturday, and it showed. Not sure on depth but I actually think this could end up a good group.

Blitzing: Now this is a positive AND a negative, I like the more aggressive nature, and we have been asking for this for some time, and we got it. That said, we have been burned by the blitz quite a few times this year(see above on D backfield). If you can't get to the QB, and he's decent and playing well, your one missed tackle away from giving up a big play...happened twice on Saturday. I like the aggression, we have to find a way for the blitzes to be more effective, I'll be darned if I know how, but hope PP can.

Now some Positives !!....

WR: There is a small shade of depth emerging at WR, while not world beating, I like what ive seen from Smith, Powell, Vandeberg. These guys seem to get a little seperation and have decent hands.

Ruddock: While maybe not a huge arm, that may be his only main shortfall, and that can be improved some and if not, timing and rythm can make up for a shortage in arm strength. He has all the intangibles.

Vertical Game: I don't have the stats but it sure seems like we are making a LOT more attempts downfield, something we've been asking for. At glimpses, the offense has looked very sharp, just not consistant.

Dline: Overall this group has been better than I think most of us expected...not great but solid. Of course I would like to see a little more pressure on the QB but overall they have graded out above average...we will see in the next month what we got.

Play Calling: OK OK, not sure it's always positive, but the primary fault last year was the "1 yard out" craziness....haven't seen a load of that. We have seemed to mix it up a bit. I don't think we are nearly as predictable as last year but it does seem like we have an identity crisis at times. I am not sold on GD, but it's been far better this year than last.

Summary: Lots of glaring issues that look like many of the same ones of the last few years, I can't ignore those. Personally I don't have a strong level of confidence we get to 6 wins...and I think 3 of our next four are going to be a test on our collective will as fans.

Hope lives...but it's fragile. I want to believe kf can turn things around, and I think some things have been addressed. I also believe we are recovering from a few years of attrition. I've been known to be a "kf defender" and I probably am...even to a fault. I still believe the over pros outweigh the cons. If we don't get to 6 wins this year, there needs to be real, tangible signs of improvement(in play and game day coaching). if we don't win 7+ next year, a change has to be made or at least put in the works.

I think the Hawks should be a 7-8 win team yearly, with an occaisional 9+ win season and occaisional 6 win rebuild period. See signature.

Go Hawks.
 


I disgaree we should be winning 7-8 games a year. We don't have the talent to justify that statement. We recruit like a 4-6 win team. Until recruiting is improved we won't see good teams on a consistent basis. With the talent we bring in currently every outlier needs to hit and improve in order to put together a magical season to get to 9+ wins. 2009 was the perfect storm but the gap in talent from that team is astonishing.
 


When I read " its long" I clicked and hoped to find paragraphs. ~ relief ~

now I'll read it.
 


Iowa is actually putting together a couple of pretty good recruiting classes. They made a few changes in who is doing the recruiting and where they are doing it. So far it is working well. The stability at head coach should also contribute. On hawk talk last week he said that he was not going to retire for another 10-15 years so 24-29 years total with the same coach is great. This follows a coach of 19 years. The overall record and recruiting has greatly improved over the time period prior where Iowa had 4 different coaches in a 17 year span.
 




That many negatives are the earmarks of a .500 team or worse.

When a team's strength is only average among peers you got problems. Iowa's strength is OLine and rushing...and guess what - it's average.
 


Good post.

Overall I've been very pleased with our Defensive We have given up some big plays but that is going to happen when you play a more aggressive style which most were asking for... well you got it. Against MSU our Defense was just on the field way too long. Alvis got dinged up and I think the DL was just gassed which lead to absolutely no pressure.

But if you go back to hte first half when we were still fresh, we gave up 10 points... that's more than acceptable considering how many times we had our backs against the wall and the situations the D was put in. By the 2nd half, we had nothing left as our offense went 3 and out after 3 and out.

Thats my thoughts. My issues are with our offense.
 


Good general analysis Walker. Though I generally find myself agreeing and seeing things in our program close to how you do. However, I am not as strong on keeping kf these days, though i'd consider seeing him through next year.

The whole ST defensive play and macro approach to the ganeday coaching seems (is) atrocious. Yes there are improvements all around the segments, but as mentioned, recruiting seems down, as attributed to our general lack of depth (which generally will always be the case at iowa).

We came out flat last game, and that seems to be more often the case when we lose (may be just my own perception) games and momentum early. I see us winning 2 more, plus the possible big upset of nebby.

My biggest complaint is when it appears we are able to keep up with a team and be "IN" a game, but we drop the ball, so to speak, and just plain look awful. Or worse, when we don't show up at all for 3/4 of a game. To me that is lack of in-game coaching adjustments (and may be just stemmed from having a stubburn coach), and poor scouting.
 




That many negatives are the earmarks of a .500 team or worse.

When a team's strength is only average among peers you got problems. Iowa's strength is OLine and rushing...and guess what - it's average.

The team's strength is defense. Both against the run, and the pass. Most fans are too stupid to realize it, but its there.
 


The team's strength is defense. Both against the run, and the pass. Most fans are too stupid to realize it, but its there.

Not so sure about pass defense......gave up a lot of pass yardage to an average QB at best for MSU.
The remaining games could get very ugly for the Hawks D and in particular the pass defense.
 


Not so sure about pass defense......gave up a lot of pass yardage to an average QB at best for MSU.
The remaining games could get very ugly for the Hawks D and in particular the pass defense.

The pass defense didn't have a good game on Saturday. But it was still solid.

Did you realize that Cook averaged 6.3 yards per attempt? Akron averages 6.3 yards per attempt, which is good for 98th in the country. The biggest problem on Saturday was the offense was poor, leaving the defense on the field too much, giving Cook 44 attempts. MSU was 6 of 19 on 3rd down, not impressive.

On the season, Iowa is

11th in the country in yards per attempt allowed
15th in the country in completion ptg allowed
11th in the country in yards per rush allowed
9th in the country in 3rd down conversion ptg
 


Can't agree with all of your points. The defensive line is doing what they are coached to do. They stayed in their lanes, got some push and made some good plays. The difference was that Sparty could blitz and go man to man and get away with it. Iowa couldn't. Michigan State didn't exactly kill Iowa with their running game. Their lead rusher had 43 yards. Which was more than Iowa's total rushing yards. But still not much to brag about. Still their three rushers combined for 100 yards total. And that was a big difference against Iowa's 26 yards rushing. QB wise; Jake 26/46 241yds 2/2. Cook 25/44 277yds 2/1.

For me the disappointment was the offensive line. I expected this line to be the strength of the team this year. And they are. But I also expected that they would be one of the better offensive lines in the conference. They are not. They are adequate. They struggled against MSU.
 


The pass defense didn't have a good game on Saturday. But it was still solid.

Did you realize that Cook averaged 6.3 yards per attempt? Akron averages 6.3 yards per attempt, which is good for 98th in the country. The biggest problem on Saturday was the offense was poor, leaving the defense on the field too much, giving Cook 44 attempts. MSU was 6 of 19 on 3rd down, not impressive.

On the season, Iowa is

11th in the country in yards per attempt allowed
15th in the country in completion ptg allowed
11th in the country in yards per rush allowed
9th in the country in 3rd down conversion ptg

Respect your opinion but my concern is that MSU has a very bad offense and was still able to pass the ball efficiently. I guess time will tell how the Hawks D performs against the remaining offenses in the Big. I simply think things could also get somewhat ugly for the Defense as a whole once they start facing dual threat QB's and offenses with excellent speed at the skill positions.
 


Respect your opinion but my concern is that MSU has a very bad offense and was still able to pass the ball efficiently. I guess time will tell how the Hawks D performs against the remaining offenses in the Big. I simply think things could also get somewhat ugly for the Defense as a whole once they start facing dual threat QB's and offenses with excellent speed at the skill positions.

I agree, MSU hadn't been great on offense. But 6.3 ypa is not that efficient. Its 98th in the country in efficiency.
 
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Can't agree with all of your points. The defensive line is doing what they are coached to do. They stayed in their lanes, got some push and made some good plays. The difference was that Sparty could blitz and go man to man and get away with it. Iowa couldn't. Michigan State didn't exactly kill Iowa with their running game. Their lead rusher had 43 yards. Which was more than Iowa's total rushing yards. But still not much to brag about. Still their three rushers combined for 100 yards total. And that was a big difference against Iowa's 26 yards rushing. QB wise; Jake 26/46 241yds 2/2. Cook 25/44 277yds 2/1.

It sure sounds you agreed....just with more stats and detail.

For me the disappointment was the offensive line. I expected this line to be the strength of the team this year. And they are. But I also expected that they would be one of the better offensive lines in the conference. They are not. They are adequate. They struggled against MSU.
 


Good post OP..pretty much sums up the way I feel. I am hopeful KF will turn things around. He has made alot of changes to the staff.. too bad they were not done sooner though. I like KF,but the one constant that will never change is gameday coaching and we consistently get out coached. I really would not mind a HC coaching change. But my fear is Barta would screw the pooch and make a bad hire.
 


I want to believe in this year's team being better than last year's team, that there are real strides being made in improving the program. For now, I'm going to take the MSU game as a one off game, and watch with great anticipation for how Iowa performs in these next 3 games. These 3 games will tell us if Iowa has turned a corner, or if they are just an also ran, as the pundits predicted at the beginning of the year. Barring some disabling injuries from the guys who went down on Saturday, I am remaining a believer that Iowa is regaining its stature in the conference, and will acquit itself well against OSU, NU and Wisconsin. I still think they can beat NU and Wisconsin - winning 2 of these 3 would be a huge boost for the team, the staff and the fans. If I'm wrong, then I'm wrong, so sue me for being a fan.
 


The team's strength is defense. Both against the run, and the pass. Most fans are too stupid to realize it, but its there.
You can post the stats, but we haven't played many teams with an even average QB. I will wait and reserve judgement of our pass defense for after tOSU and NW. We will find out what our D is truly made of. One thing is for sure, if we try to run that slow blitz with our safety against those teams, things will not go well.
 


You can post the stats, but we haven't played many teams with an even average QB. I will wait and reserve judgement of our pass defense for after tOSU and NW. We will find out what our D is truly made of. One thing is for sure, if we try to run that slow blitz with our safety against those teams, things will not go well.

Blah blah blah blah blah. Every team we've played is terrible, while everyone else in the country has played really tough schedules.

The one constant in our fanbase is the refusal to accept objective data that doesn't confirm their already held beliefs.
 




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