Stone Cold Upsets & Lead Pipe Locks - Week 2

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SteveDeace

Well-Known Member
Stone Cold Upsets & Lead Pipe Locks – Week 2

Last week: 6-1
Overall: 6-1 (86% winners)
Best Bets: 1-0

Odds are based on opening lines and home team is in all CAPS.

ARIZONA STATE -6.5 over Missouri
Sun Devils have the better quarterback, the better defense, and are playing at home in need of a statement win. Arizona State 31, Missouri 21

Iowa-IOWA STATE under 44
Don’t mess with a streak. The last six in the series have gone under the total. 11 of the Cyclones’ last 14 home games have gone under, as have 17 of the Hawkeyes’ last 23 non-conference games. And did I mention Iowa State’s offense was outgained by a FCS team in its opener last week? Iowa 23, Iowa State 13

Toledo +20 over OHIO STATE
The Rockets have beaten a BCS team the last three years in a row, and their head coach is a former Buckeye assistant who will have his experienced team ready for the ‘Shoe. Ohio State 38, Toledo 24

Alabama-PENN STATE under 43.5
Two teams playing with dueling quarterbacks still battling for the starting job. Penn State’s defense will have the emotion of the home crowd. Alabama’s defense might be the most talented unit in the sport. The under is 7-1 in Nittany Lions’ last 8 non-conference games. Alabama 24, Penn State 10

BYU-TEXAS under 48.5
Six of the last 8 games for the Longhorns have gone under the total, and 10 of BYU’s last 14 games (including last week’s win at Ole Miss) have gone under. Both teams have once highly-recruited quarterbacks that have yet to develop. Texas 21, BYU 14

Cincinnati-TENNESSEE over 53
Eight of the last 9 home games for the Vols have gone over the total, and 17 of Tennessee’s last 22 games overall. The two teams combined to score 118 points last week. Tennessee 35, Cincinnati 27

KANSAS +5.5 over Northern Illinois
Strictly going with the motivation of the Big 12 team being an underdog at home to the MAC team here. And the Huskies are just 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 against teams with winning records. Kansas 27, Northern Illinois 26

Notre Dame -3.5 over MICHIGAN
The Wolverines have covered only 11 of their last 38 games. The underdog has covered 7 of the last 10. Michigan hasn’t beaten Notre Dame three straight times since 1887-1908. And the Irish are playing for their season following last week’s latest home debacle, this time at the hands of South Florida. Notre Dame 30, Michigan 24

Bills +7 over CHIEFS
This might be the only game this year Buffalo has the quarterback advantage in, not to mention Kansas City has covered just one of its last 8 games versus AFC foes. Chiefs 17, Bills 13

Best Bet: BROWNS -2.5 over Bengals
A rookie quarterback opens up on the road with no offseason beyond a truncated preseason schedule of vanilla defenses to prepare him—uh-oh. Browns 24, Bengals 10
 
I have a problem with only 1 pick, and I advise you to change your mind quickly. NO WAY Toledo scores 24 points @ Ohio St. NO WAY. OSU covers with ease.
 
1. Missouri is overrated.
2. Your math is wrong. 4 field goals for ISU=12 points.
3. Penn State will pull the upset over Alabama.
 
So you're counting the Michigan game from last week as a win, too? Even though it was called early enough that every sportsbook in the land (legal and illegal) would rule it a "no-action" because it did not go 55 minutes?

Wow, between that and the counting ties as wins, you really are desperate. A real man would stand on his true record and not have to fudge things to try and make himself look better ...
 
I think Michigan beats noder dumm, will be close but Michigan puts the dummers at 0-2.

What a great start of the college football season that will/would be for college football fans.

First two games of the year and Noder Dumm makes itself irrelevant for the 2011 season. Now that is SWEET.
 
HawkI1969 said:
So you're counting the Michigan game from last week as a win, too? Even though it was called early enough that every sportsbook in the land (legal and illegal) would rule it a "no-action" because it did not go 55 minutes?

Wow, between that and the counting ties as wins, you really are desperate. A real man would stand on his true record and not have to fudge things to try and make himself look better ...
Click to expand...

If you don't like it don't post and don't read this thread, we went through this $hit last week and Jon made it very clear you can just move on if you don't agree. We don't need this crap every week.

Also Deace I would take Michigan and the points, I think they win outright.
 
HawkI1969 said:
So you're counting the Michigan game from last week as a win, too? Even though it was called early enough that every sportsbook in the land (legal and illegal) would rule it a "no-action" because it did not go 55 minutes?

Wow, between that and the counting ties as wins, you really are desperate. A real man would stand on his true record and not have to fudge things to try and make himself look better ...
Click to expand...

Are you serious? This is nitpicking of the highest order.

You know whats worse than counting ties as wins? People who ***** about someone counting ties as wins on a free internet message board that they aren't forced to read. If you don't like Deace, or what he posts, then don't ******* read it.
 
Clark said:
Are you serious? This is nitpicking of the highest order.

You know whats worse than counting ties as wins? People who ***** about someone counting ties as wins on a free internet message board that they aren't forced to read. If you don't like Deace, or what he posts, then don't ******* read it.
Click to expand...

you want to know what's worse than people ******** about people counting ties as wins?....
 
Clark said:
Are you serious? This is nitpicking of the highest order.

You know whats worse than counting ties as wins? People who ***** about someone counting ties as wins on a free internet message board that they aren't forced to read. If you don't like Deace, or what he posts, then don't ******* read it.
Click to expand...

Nitpicking of the highest order? Are YOU serious? That's like a baseball team winning in the first inning and the game being rained out, but the team counts the game as a win. If Michigan hadn't covered the game when the game was called early, do you think it would be counted as a loss or a "no-action"?

If you don't like what I ******* post, then you just skip it by and don't bother ******** reading it or responding, OK *******? No one is forcing you to reply, are they? It's real easy.
 
HawkI1969 said:
Nitpicking of the highest order? Are YOU serious? That's like a baseball team winning in the first inning and the game being rained out, but the team counts the game as a win. If Michigan hadn't covered the game when the game was called early, do you think it would be counted as a loss or a "no-action"?

If you don't like what I ******* post, then you just skip it by and don't bother ******** reading it or responding, OK *******? No one is forcing you to reply, are they? It's real easy.
Click to expand...

If you start your own thread to b!tch about it, I will skip it all day long. As it is, you are b!tching in the thread that I would like to read, so I can't skip it or avoid it.

What you are doing is like an ISU fan showing up at Kinnick and b!tching and p!ssing, and f*cking moaning about the Hawks the whole time. Go the f*ck to your own stadium (create your own thread) and b!tch to your hearts f*cking content.
 
These threads are about gambling on football games. If you don't want to read a discussion about football gambling, then don't click. The critiques of Steve's cheating rules are gambling discussion.
 
ICHawk24 said:
These threads are about gambling on football games. If you don't want to read a discussion about football gambling, then don't click. The critiques of Steve's cheating rules are gambling discussion.
Click to expand...

Actually they're about Deace going against the Vegas insiders. If they were about Gambling he'd use current lines. We went over this last week.
 
HawkI1969 said:
Nitpicking of the highest order? Are YOU serious? That's like a baseball team winning in the first inning and the game being rained out, but the team counts the game as a win. If Michigan hadn't covered the game when the game was called early, do you think it would be counted as a loss or a "no-action"?

If you don't like what I ******* post, then you just skip it by and don't bother ******** reading it or responding, OK *******? No one is forcing you to reply, are they? It's real easy.
Click to expand...

Or if you don't like what Deace ******* post then you just skip it by and don't bother ******** reading it or repsponding, OK ******? No one is forcing you to reply, are they? It's real easy.
 
DexterMorgan said:
Actually they're about Deace going against the Vegas insiders. If they were about Gambling he'd use current lines. We went over this last week.
Click to expand...

It was pointed out last week that even the opening lines aren't Vegas insiders' attempts at a "true line". They're an attempt to get even action on both sides.
 
ICHawk24 said:
It was pointed out last week that even the opening lines aren't Vegas insiders' attempts at a "true line". They're an attempt to get even action on both sides.
Click to expand...

This is correct. Vegas could make a team a 9 point favorite, and that team could lose by 30 and if the action was equal on both sides Vegas got exactly what it wanted.

BTW I'm only betting one game this week and its a lock. I have....

Iowa +21 at Iowa State
I got my uncle who's suffering from dementia to give me 21 points this week. I thought he was having a lucid moment but then I realized he thought it was 1976. That said I'm still taking Iowa and the points, as well as my uncles cash.
 
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