Good write-up Rob.
The one thing I would point out is that the Michigan and PSU games were night games. For whatever reason, the Hawkeyes tend to show up better at night as opposed to late afternoon.
I sincerely hope I'm wrong, but I honestly don't see it that close. I wouldn't be surprised if the Hawks keep it close in the first half playing on adrenaline, but I look for big plays and Dobbins to wear out the defense by the middle of the third. The bend-but-don't-break defensive philosophy can be effective, but really only when the offense can put together long drives to keep the defense from fatiguing, and, from what we've seen, it's hard to believe that our offense will be able to manage the LOS effectively. OSU's defensive line could be playing on Sundays.