More to football than Stats ... RE: Kerrigan

homerHAWKeye777

Well-Known Member
I cannot help but be struck by the ESPN blog lauding Ryan Kerrigan. I watched plenty of Purdue football through the past few seasons and I appreciate that Kerrigan was basically a 1-man wrecking crew. However, part of what propped up his stats was that the Purdue D just "let him loose." While often that ended up leading to sacks and/or TFLs ... it also led to many opportunities where the secondary was exposed because the QB's vision wasn't constrained by having passing lanes taken away (part of why D-linemen are schooled to get their hands up if they cannot get to the QB).

Another stat that is just as telling is that while Kerrigan alone accounted for nearly 10 yards per game lost by the opposing O ... the Purdue D also allowed 43 TDs through the regular season. Compare that to the 22 TDs allowed by the Hawkeye D through the regular season. You're looking there at a 2-1 ratio!

Of course, why compare Purdue to Iowa? Well, of course because so many folks bash on Clayborn due to his significant drop in production. While Clayborn and the Iowa D was much maligned after the closure of the regular season, few folks in the media seem to have pieced together the facts.

- The Iowa D gave up very few scores through the season despite contending with considerable adversity. In past years, such adversity would have knocked Iowa further down the "statistical" ladder.

- Clayborn still managed to account for 52 tackles. Not all of those were TFLs or sack ... but it still illustrates that he was getting in on plays. And you don't get in on plays without putting in the work. What's more, Iowa plays a disciplined brand of D where they don't just "unleash" their D-linemen. Matt Roth said as much after his career at Iowa. Roth alluded that he could have put up much more impressive sack/TFL numbers, however it would have come at the cost of not taking care of his DL-responsibilities.

- Despite the seemingly poor sack production, Iowa still ranked 5th in the Big 10 in sacks ... totalling 22 total sacks. It should be noted that 3 of the Big 10 teams ranked ahead of Iowa totalled but 23 total sacks. Thus, the margin between 2nd and 5th was tiny.

- Clayborn's 2010 production is better than the "normal" productivity of an Iowa D-lineman during seasons of adversity and still nearly on par with "normal" productivity during relatively adversity-free (on the D) seasons.

Anyhow, while many folks may end up crying "foul" if Clayborn ends up getting picked ahead of Kerrigan, I, for one, will not. Kerrigan was definitely an impressive player. However, Clayborn was an impressive player too. Furthermore, Clayborn was impressive while also executing within a system that required more discipline.

Sorry for the rant. I'm just getting irritated watching some of what the talking heads say and/or write when talking about D-linemen in the draft (particularly concerning Clayborn).
 


This might explain how Aaron Kampman was not even invited to the Combine after his senior season,was drafted in the 5th round,and then went on to lead the league in sacks and was All Pro.....I remember watching Kampman play a measured,controlled,contain type of d-end vs #14 NW in a huge upset by the Hawks.
When he got to the pros...he was unleashed.
 




Hopefully you won't be offended when they speak highly of J.J. Watt.

I'm not offended at all ... nor am I offended when they speak highly of Kerrigan. The issue is when folks blindly speak of production but then not put that production in context (i.e. in terms of scheme, surrounding personnel, etc).

J.J. Watt was impressive, not doubt about it. He was THE driving force behind their D. He provided them with the leadership and drive. Of course, he also did so facing less adversity on his D unit (although his unit did face some adversity). Another factor that definitely helps Watt is the fact that he put up some impressive combine numbers.

I wouldn't be surprised if Watt gets picked ahead of Clayborn, nor would I cry foul if it did happen. However, I am NOT as sold on Kerrigan.
 


JJ Watt will be making a lot of money in the NFL. He has all the tools to become a very talented 3-4 DE.
 


My main complaint with our defensive scheme is that we're too doggone disciplined at times. When you're playing TPryor & DPersa, one could understand a bit why....but when you're playing BChappel & Adam Weber (and you have, perhaps, the best DL in program history), I really question the philosophy...
 




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