Miller: The Mean Season

JonDMiller

Publisher/Founder
The last several years, the Iowa basketball out of season has been pretty tough to take. More specifically, the weeks immediately following the end of the season which has typically been from mid March through April.

In each of the last three seasons, Iowa has lost its best player; Tyler Smith, Tony Freeman and Jake Kelly.

You might be able to add Aaron Fuller to that list now, as he is leaving the Iowa basketball program.

The only reason I say ‘might’ is because some folks are quibbling over Fuller being the team’s best player. For the season, Fuller averaged 9.7 points and 6.2 rebounds. The scoring average was second best on a 10 win, 21 loss team, while his rebounding average was tops.

However, Fuller’s 12.3 points per game in Big Ten games only was tops on the Iowa team, with Gatens behind him at 11.8. Fuller was 5th in the Big Ten with 7.8 rebounds per game in conference play & he was tops in the league in offensive rebounds at 3.4 per game. Given that Iowa was 8th in the league in rebounding margin and given how much Fuller had improved from his freshman to sophomore season while taking into account he began this year with a sprained ankle, I’d say that the loss of Fuller is pretty big.

I still think the loss of Kelly is bigger, because Kelly had emerged as a dangerous player with the ball in his hands and given that he played point down the stretch, the position where the ball is in your hand more than any other, that was a tough one.

However, without Fuller, Iowa has one player that has proven he can hang in the paint and rebound and that is Jarryd Cole, who will be a senior next year. But he can’t do it himself and even with Fuller in the paint with him, Iowa was still one of the four worst rebounding teams in the league last year.

That, and they were 10-21.

The optimist might say that with Fuller, Iowa still had one of the worst seasons in school history, so how much worse can it be without him?

Hey, I love optimists. However, the optimist in me was hopeful that next year’s team could finish at or above .500 and make strides towards a possible NCAA tournament bid in two years, considering the event will likely be expanded by then.

Fuller’s departure may be compounded if Cody Larson doesn’t come to Iowa. Larson was released from his letter of intent today, yet he said he has invited Iowa to re-recruit him.

The optimists will say that Iowa isn’t out of it yet. The pessimist in me asks how many times have you seen a kid get out of his LOI only to re-sign with the same school?

That’s double departure trouble at a similar position on the same day for a team that needed all hands on deck next year to have an optimist’s shot at finishing .500.

I understand that some of you will read this and feel that it’s defeatist…that we haven’t seen Fran McCaffery’s style of play, so don’t make assumptions like this. Some will say that Iowa has more scholarships now and can pick up a Juco or two or otherwise. Some will say that Iowa is in the hunt for a forward that had committed to Siena…

I know this; if you are banking on picking up some late Juco help, as in more than one, your reality bites. Then again, we knew that already. It’s also a questionable strategy, as many of the best players from that level have been recruited by coaches the past year and relationships are established, and the chances of landing even one difference maker are small.

That might be selling McCaffery short, but he has just one assistant coach at this time. Iowa may have three scholarships available to use this fall, which might be a better strategy, even if it means the 2010-2011 season will once again be rife with potholes, a short bench and even more change.

Iowa point guard Cully Payne was upbeat and cheery a few weeks back after meeting with Coach McCaffery. He said, “One thing that really stuck with me is that he said it’s not going to be a long, grueling season.â€

I hope that’s true…but it’s already shaping up as yet another long and grueling off season.

I don’t put any of this on McCaffery’s ledger. Had Todd Lickliter been retained, Fuller was gone anyway and I wasn’t totally convinced Larson was super solid in his commitment, because of the whispers of other schools contacting him indirectly and letting him know they were interested if he wanted to look in their direction. As for whom those schools are, just follow his recruitment the next few weeks and you’ll have your answers.

But this is the mess McCaffery has inherited. The good news is that he has been here before, and he has rebuilt three programs. He knew what he was getting into when he accepted the position and we all knew that there was not going to be any magic quick fix pill to make things better overnight.

Still, it doesn’t make the double dose of bad news any easier to swallow. Tom Kakert of HawkeyeReport.com wrote on Friday that McCaffery had flown out to Arizona to meet with Fuller’s dad. If that happened, it was a swing and a miss. Again, I can’t put that one on McCaffery’s books, because Fuller had made up his mind to leave more than a month ago. When young people get something in their mind like that, especially young people from half a country away from home who dealt with a coach that didn’t really have any sort of a relationship with his players, home looks a heck of a lot better.

And home area schools sure as heck liked what they saw of Fuller in Big Ten play.

Your friends back home see that and say ‘How come you are gonna stay out there?†That gets in your head and the next thing you know you’re gone mentally; you’ve checked out. Coming back from that level of mental commitment is a hard decision for adults, let alone college aged kids. I don’t fault Fuller for wanting to hit the reset button on his basketball career, either.

No matter how you slice it and no matter how you evaluate it, Iowa lost one of its best proven players and likely one of its best incoming recruits that would have served as a backup to Fuller at times next year.

It wasn’t a good Friday.
 
The Hawks are going to stink without Fuller and without Larson (more than they would with them) so why not bank the schollies and go hard after the 2011 guys? Taking jucos could actually hurt the team as they could overlap strong highschool classes that could help more in the longer run, putting Fran and Co. behind the 8ball again.

Blah...I'm tired and hope I made SOME sense.
 
At this point, get Licks mess cleaned up NOW and once and for all. We were 10-22 last year...no one on the current team is someone we cannot afford to lose.
 
He better hire a guy with instant AAU connections. There is no way the normal route is going to work with top talent after the team has played in an empty arena and lost 70-80% of their games over the last few years. Sorry, but that's the way it is. Now if someone can give me an example of a coach that was able to succeed at the major conference level recently without being able to make a quick recruiting splash I would be interested. I can't come up with one.

He will need a rainmaker recruit that can pull others along. The relationship that will pull in that player is already in place. I would be surprised if he thought he could drop in and build
that relationship now.
 
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Its too early to panic, the low level of the program is well known and there are no quick fixes(and when they are attempted, they usually fail), so allow the coach to develop his staff, develop a plan, and execute it. The nice thing, oftentimes a turnaround in BB can be quite quick, just build a couple of classes back to back to back, coach em up and go. Hopefully most of the remaining kids stay(and recruits come) and here is something to work with. To take anything less than what you would normally take would only backfire, a juco may be a nice addition, but has to be quality.

Its too early on to get bummed out, this is still like players reporting for Spring Training.
 
At this point, get Licks mess cleaned up NOW and once and for all. We were 10-22 last year...no one on the current team is someone we cannot afford to lose.

The problem is we did not hire Drew, Cal, Tubby, or Hugs. Some guys have the recruiting acumen to clean house and rebuild at the major conference level. We have yet to see if FM has that ability or if he can target an assistant that can.
 
The Hawks are going to stink without Fuller and without Larson (more than they would with them) so why not bank the schollies and go hard after the 2011 guys? Taking jucos could actually hurt the team as they could overlap strong highschool classes that could help more in the longer run, putting Fran and Co. behind the 8ball again.

Blah...I'm tired and hope I made SOME sense.

Taking on JUCO's is not how you build a program. What I mean by that, is that good programs do not consistently lean on JUCO players to have success. However, JUCO's are a good option when a program is in our position. They give you a necessary shot in the arm, and can help get you some success to get solid recruiting classes out of high school. You don't win championships with JUCO's, but they can be a good starting block.
 
I think he should find at least two good jucos or HS players ASAP. If they are juco, their schollys the guys who replace them are recruited next summer,when are facility is done, and Fran has had a year to build a relationship.
We need to try to be respectable next year, and recruit like madmen for the 2011 and 2012 classes. No secrets here, got lemons, make lemonade,til you got plums.
 
Jon wrote:

I know this; if you are banking on picking up some late Juco help, as in more than one, your reality bites. Then again, we knew that already. It’s also a questionable strategy, as many of the best players from that level have been recruited by coaches the past year and relationships are established, and the chances of landing even one difference maker are small.

That might be selling McCaffery short, but he has just one assistant coach at this time. Iowa may have three scholarships available to use this fall, which might be a better strategy, even if it means the 2010-2011 season will once again be rife with potholes, a short bench and even more change.

I would not be surprised if Iowa did not sign anyone this spring. The signing period starts this Wednesday & goes until May 19. However, a dead period starts on Monday and runs through Thursday.

McCaffery has spent this short contact period visiting with the current recruits. On Thursday, he visited with Larson in Sioux Falls. Yesterday, he supposedly flew to Arizona to meet with Fuller's dad. Today, he will be in Chicago visiting Brust.

McCaffery hasn't even assembled his staff. After Sunday, the only time McCaffery and his staff can contact recruits is April 16 to April 21. Otherwise, the only contact allowed with recruits until the end of the signing period is on campus visits.

So, unless McCaffery already has established a relationship with a player or can pull a rabbit out of his hat, don't expect much this spring.
 
The Hawks are going to stink without Fuller and without Larson (more than they would with them) so why not bank the schollies and go hard after the 2011 guys? Taking jucos could actually hurt the team as they could overlap strong highschool classes that could help more in the longer run, putting Fran and Co. behind the 8ball again.

Blah...I'm tired and hope I made SOME sense.
dude wake up we already stink, if these guys are so good y were we so bad.it could hurt but not as bad as it hurt watchin this team last season. get a grip u wanted a change we got it. its not like were losing outstanding basketball players
 
dude wake up we already stink, if these guys are so good y were we so bad.it could hurt but not as bad as it hurt watchin this team last season. get a grip u wanted a change we got it. its not like were losing outstanding basketball players

Um, Larson is a recruit and one of the main reasons people were looking forward to next season. Watch where he signs. It will make you realize he is the real deal. Also, while the rest of the team does suck, Fuller had developed into a legit Big Ten forward, perhaps the only real legit Big Ten starter on the team. So, while you are right that the team could not compete last year, you are wrong to think these are not big losses.
 
So Larson wants Iowa to "re-recruit" him? Screw that. That tells me he wasn't sold on Iowa to begin with.

Don't let the door hit you on the way out.

OK Fran......get us players that WANT to be here! I support you (unlike the ever-growing list of impatient naysaying Chicken Littles on this and other boards).

I thought *I* was a Negative Nellie....some of you people really take the cake.
 
So Larson wants Iowa to "re-recruit" him? Screw that. That tells me he wasn't sold on Iowa to begin with.

Don't let the door hit you on the way out.

OK Fran......get us players that WANT to be here! I support you (unlike the ever-growing list of impatient naysaying Chicken Littles on this and other boards).

I thought *I* was a Negative Nellie....some of you people really take the cake.

No, that tells you (or it should) that Larson isn't completely sold on McCaffery, and wants to weigh all his options. Kids rarely go to schools for the program, they go because of the coaches. I'm a kid that if I were good enough to play D1 basketball, I'd be at Iowa no matter what. Everyone knew from the moment that I was born that if I had the grades, I was going to school here in Iowa City. That's just the way I am, I love this school and I love these programs.

But most players (especially those who are out of state), don't have that same passion for the school. They were sold on coming here by coaches.

Larson isn't being arrogant, he's being smart. He may find that now he fits better somewhere else. And we shouldn't be bashing him for doing the smart thing. It's his fu*king life, he should try to find the best way to live it. And he's taking the right steps to do that.
 
Anyone that really thought Iowa wasn't going to lose any players didn't set realistic expectations.

Anyone that really thought Iowa wasn't going to lose any recruits didn't set realistic expectations.

If there is anything the last 20 years of basketball at Iowa should have taught us is to set realistic expectations.
 
If you are waiting for a rain maker, I don't think he will come this spring, hell maybe not next year. I do believe that Coach Fran knows what he is doing and will right this ship.... :)
 
At this point, Coach McCaffery needs to hire a staff of strong recruiters and really go hard after recruits this summer (for the 2011 class). They need some early signees to give the program (and the fan base) a sense of hope before the actually 2010-11 season starts, when the Hawks will likely lose more than 20 games again.
 
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