Michigan -1 / -1.5

If they can nearly beat Arizona and then beat Wisky in Madison, then they are a very good team. I don't know how they are doing it without McGary ... Do they have any inside production at all?
 
Tkingpin said:
If they can nearly beat Arizona and then beat Wisky in Madison, then they are a very good team. I don't know how they are doing it without McGary ... Do they have any inside production at all?
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They're insanely good shooters at every spot on the floor, which they will find since they're an exceptional passing team. Their inside production is minimal but again, extremely high-percentage shots. I think we'll go into it similar to how we did ND. A big man with touch might hurt us but allowing Robinson and Stauskas to go off on us is absolutely NO OPTION!! The only thing that worries me is that passing is a huge strength of theirs so if we do anything overly aggressive they will find someone who can hurt us.

X-factor: Length! Move our arms, clog passing lanes, get hands in the air. Pressure them, keep Stauskas in check by whatever means necessary. And for crying out loud please REBOUND! Do those things and we'll whittle away at their strengths the way we do. We know what we need to do on the offensive side.
 
Woody... this has got to be a big game for you. You have 5 inches on Morgan.

We also need to outrebound them.
 
THat seems about right, or a coin toss, 50/50.

Keep in mind that Iowa has crushed ATS all yr, including the last 4 games in row. Which shows, that in addition to the human polls, Iowa not getting the respect from the bettors either.

Take Iowa and the points....
 
Tkingpin said:
If they can nearly beat Arizona and then beat Wisky in Madison, then they are a very good team. I don't know how they are doing it without McGary ... Do they have any inside production at all?
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Horford/Morgan are playing very well, like upperclassmen big men. They both have had big games this year and play great defense. They are averaging close to if not a double-double since McGary was announced as out indefinitely.
 
Tough to win on the road in the Big 10, especially against a team of this caliber. I was surprised the line wasn't bigger. With that said, Hawks win tomorrow night by 5 or more.
 
Plus, Iowa is minus in the luck efficiency metric.

And I'd rather be lucky sometimes than better.
 
libradawg said:
They're insanely good shooters at every spot on the floor, which they will find since they're an exceptional passing team. Their inside production is minimal but again, extremely high-percentage shots. I think we'll go into it similar to how we did ND. A big man with touch might hurt us but allowing Robinson and Stauskas to go off on us is absolutely NO OPTION!! The only thing that worries me is that passing is a huge strength of theirs so if we do anything overly aggressive they will find someone who can hurt us.

X-factor: Length! Move our arms, clog passing lanes, get hands in the air. Pressure them, keep Stauskas in check by whatever means necessary. And for crying out loud please REBOUND! Do those things and we'll whittle away at their strengths the way we do. We know what we need to do on the offensive side.
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Good post, Stauskas scares me a lot more than Robinson. He's really improved this year and has become much better at driving to the hoop than he was last year. On offense, we really need to close out well and challenge Michigan's jumpers. Michigan does not rebound well on the offensive end, nor do they get to the line a lot. LeVert is the X-factor to me, he's hit or miss but when's he on he takes their offense to a whole other level. Michigan also forces opponents to take a long time on offense, so we need to do a good job of pushing the ball and getting our usual good, quick transition looks.
 
sportstalent said:
Horford/Morgan are playing very well, like upperclassmen big men. They both have had big games this year and play great defense. They are averaging close to if not a double-double since McGary was announced as out indefinitely.
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^This^ is why I predict a similar story to Notre Dame. Big men who can play with touch who know when to shoot it. I'm on a different fence as some of you, though. Olaseni is the one I foresee having some sort of spectacular coming out party type game. When the name of the game is shutting down passing lanes, find a guy with a 7'3 wingspan. That's what I expect us to try after opening 5:00 of Woody.
 
libradawg said:
^This^ is why I predict a similar story to Notre Dame. Big men who can play with touch who know when to shoot it. I'm on a different fence as some of you, though. Olaseni is the one I foresee having some sort of spectacular coming out party type game. When the name of the game is shutting down passing lanes, find a guy with a 7'3 wingspan. That's what I expect us to try after opening 5:00 of Woody.
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Each guy is totally different though. Morgan can't hit outside and gets a lot of his points on pick and roll action. Horford is more traditional back to the basket, but can hit the 12 ft. shot as well. I think Woodbury and Olaseni will be used based on which one is on the floor.
 
logic would tell me that Iowa can never win up there... however my instinct is that Iowa's size and toughness and transition game is a bad match up for Michigan.. and that Iowa could eff them up pretty bad.
 
This will be Iowa's first "business trip." I think Iowa is the better team, but I am in no way saying UM isn't good. They are obviously a very good team. A win at UM sets up Iowa's confidence to win on the road anywhere in the B1G the rest of this season. Let us not forget the 95-67 pounding they gave us up there, last season. This team better want to pay them back in spades. If we can get 10-12 points and 15 boards combined from Woody/Gabe, we should be okay. Uthoff and JO need to combine for 25 points. Iowa is averaging 10 points a game more than UM. Can UM keep Iowa in the low 70's, while at the same time score enough points themselves? Defense takes a crap load of energy. I see Iowa pulling away very late and approaching 80 points.
 
I'd like to know where the OP is getting his lines. I've only seen it bouncing between Michigan -2 and -3. Haven't once seen it at -1 or -1.5
 
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