His scoring always seems pretty dependent on what everyone else is doing. If his teammates are playing well and making shots he defers to them. If they are incompetent like in most of February, he takes charge.
Quick fix.
Seriously, of course he will be missed and there is no way they are a "better" team without his skills. However, I could see where losing him is not as harmful as simply subtracting his raw production.
He's scoring 17 on a team that averages 82.6. Let's say Gesell, Ogelsby Uthoff, White and Woodbury (your starting 1-5 next year), can all add 3 points each. Let's also say that 6-8, Olaseni, Clemmons and Jok can give you 1.5-2 more ppg.
These might sound like big numbers but we're only talking 1 basket and or 1 basket + a free throw. Given that Marble took the overwhelming majority of attempts - 403, which is 35% of the starting 5's attempts and 69% more than the next guy (White took 238 shots) - and also took the most free throws of anyone, I'd think the opportunities are there for these guys to compensate for those points. What's more, with the exception of Gesell, next year's starting 5 all have better shooting and free throw % than Marble. You'd think this
should translate into more points out of all those attempts that the better shooters are taking.
So, it seems you can account for Marble's points (plus a couple toward Basabe and McCabes' 13.7), leaving you a net loss of around 10 ppg. You still have a team averaging 73 ppg (top 125, nationally, and top 1/2 of the B1G).
I realize this is pretty simplistic but I also think it's pretty conservative and straight forward. The majority of Marble's (and Basabe and McCabes') numbers will be taken care of by the returnees.
Where you start to miss Marble is his confidence and ability to attack. Then again, with a (God help Iowa basketball, hopefully) tighter rotation, opportunity and repetition breed confidence and development. In other words, if you give these guys
a chance to get into game flow, create opportunities, attack the opponent and produce, without the fear of the quick hook, they just might?
Bottom line, Iowa's identity next season needs to be much less emphasis on helter-skelter running transition and much more emphasis on interior toughness, effort and pride in defense. That team, that can still score in the 70's, is basically MSU or Wisky.
You couple that attitude and identity change with a much easier schedule and it's not crazy to see Iowa with a better record, even though they will be a less talented team. It'll be a lot like what is anticipated for this coming football season.
It's up to Fran McCaffery. I'd think he'd want to do everything he could to make up for the destruction of this season.