Lunardi's updated bubble

99topdawg

99topdawg

Well-Known Member
This was posted just a few minutes ago, which includes all of yesterday's games. He also has today's game as one of his 6 games of impact.

[h=3]The bubble (28 teams for 12 spots)[/h]IN (12, in S-Curve order):
36. Illinois, 38. Saint Louis, 39. La Salle, 40. North Carolina, 41. Iowa State, 43. Ole Miss, 44. Baylor, 45. St. Mary's, 46. Virginia, 48. Arizona State, 49. Villanova, 50. California
OUT (16, in S-Curve order):
69. Kentucky, 70. Temple, 71. Indiana State, 72. Maryland, 73. St. John's, 74. Southern Miss, 75. Brigham Young, 76. Alabama, 77. Arkansas, 78. Stanford, 79. Charlotte, 80. Boise State, 81. Providence, 82. Iowa

Bracketology - Kentucky out of the tournament field in latest S-curve - College Basketball - ESPN
 


Honestly, I can't believe he would have any SEC/Pac-12 teams ahead of a Big Ten team...those conferences are awful. ACC isn't a whole lot better either...

Oh well, if Iowa does its job they will be in the discussion.
 


i could be wrong, and i'm too lazy to look it up, but doesn't Providence have a losing record? how would that put them ahead of the Hawks?
 


MeatMan said:
i could be wrong, and i'm too lazy to look it up, but doesn't Providence have a losing record? how would that put them ahead of the Hawks?
Click to expand...

They beat the stellar Nuetered Dames yesterday...makes no sense...Big East is the most overrated conference
 






He puts a lot of emphasis on the RPI - which to be fair isn't very good for Iowa, even with the Minnesota win.
 








Iowa missing the tournament because they played a bunch of 300 ranked teams instead of 200 ranked teams is going to annoy the crap out of me if it happens.
 


Don't forget that Lunardi is attempting to predict the selections made by the Committee. Unfortunately the Committee still relies heavily on RPI and so does Lunardi.

Although most pundits, analysts, coaches and casual fans and even some Committee members have said there is too much emphasis on RPI and not enough on the other criteria including Sagarin, Pomeroy, BPI etc.... it's not changing any time soon.
 


Iowa making the tournament has always been a long shot and continues to be. Take care of business, win a couple games in the BTT, and it could happen. But right now Iowa is still on the outside hoping to get in.
 




aaronzuriel said:
Don't forget that Lunardi is attempting to predict the selections made by the Committee. Unfortunately the Committee still relies heavily on RPI and so does Lunardi.

Although most pundits, analysts, coaches and casual fans and even some Committee members have said there is too much emphasis on RPI and not enough on the other criteria including Sagarin, Pomeroy, BPI etc.... it's not changing any time soon.
Click to expand...

I think there is too much emphasis on polls & ratings, period. It just bugs the crap out of me that they place so much emphasis on that instead of saying "Hey, this team competed well in such and such conference, this is their record, they beat this team and that team, etc.". It's only common sense if you ask me. But all I can do as whine about it, because it is the way it is.
 


As they should be and as was planned.

Seriously, this is all going exactly like most every sane person on this board predicted prior to the season. If Iowa doesn't close out like we all expected and win the unexpected second round game of the BTT, then they won't deserve to be in the tournament.

However, if they can't get that second round win, they will be a highly rated NIT team, which will mean more home games and a chance to grow the fan base even more.
 


CAARHawk said:
As they should be and as was planned.

Seriously, this is all going exactly like most every sane person on this board predicted prior to the season. If Iowa doesn't close out like we all expected and win the unexpected second round game of the BTT, then they won't deserve to be in the tournament.

However, if they can't get that second round win, they will be a highly rated NIT team, which will mean more home games and a chance to grow the fan base even more.
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Best case scenario for the BTT IMO is if Iowa can nab that 6 seed and face Wisconsin as the 3 seed.. I would like our chances. We always seem to get lined up with a Michigan team, though.
 


Well if we end up a six seed we would most likely jump Illinois and Minny. Both which we would likely beaten. That happens one BTT game should be a lock. Considering we would have a 7-3 record with loses to whisky, indy, and tourney opponent..... ... dance the jig
 


Bump for an update. Iowa has moved from 82 to 78.

[h=3]The bubble (28 teams for 12 spots)[/h]IN (12, in S-curve order):
39. La Salle; 40. North Carolina; 41. Iowa State; 43. Ole Miss; 44. Baylor; 45. Saint Mary's; 47. Virginia; 48. Arizona State; 49. Villanova; 50. California
OUT (16, in S-curve order):
69. Kentucky; 70. Temple; 71. St. John's; 72. Southern Miss; 73. Indiana State; 74. Maryland; 75. Brigham Young; 76. Alabama; 77. Arkansas; 78. Iowa; 79. Stanford; 80. Charlotte; 81. Boise State; 82. Providence





Bracketology - Indiana locks up No. 1 seed in latest S-curve - College Basketball - ESPN
 


99topdawg said:
Bump for an update. Iowa has moved from 82 to 78.

The bubble (28 teams for 12 spots)

IN (12, in S-curve order):
39. La Salle; 40. North Carolina; 41. Iowa State; 43. Ole Miss; 44. Baylor; 45. Saint Mary's; 47. Virginia; 48. Arizona State; 49. Villanova; 50. California
OUT (16, in S-curve order):
69. Kentucky; 70. Temple; 71. St. John's; 72. Southern Miss; 73. Indiana State; 74. Maryland; 75. Brigham Young; 76. Alabama; 77. Arkansas; 78. Iowa; 79. Stanford; 80. Charlotte; 81. Boise State; 82. Providence





Bracketology - Indiana locks up No. 1 seed in latest S-curve - College Basketball - ESPN
Click to expand...

I can't believe Indiana St. is still even on this list, they have dropped their last 3 and are 16-11 in the MVC, some bad losses too. The other very questionable ones are Baylor, Temple, St. Johns, ASU, BYU, and Southern Miss.
Some of these SEC and Pac 12 teams will flop in conference tournament or play each other and play their way right off the bubble. The way I look at it is there really are only 15-18 teams playing for these 12 spots. Not to mention, I could still see someone like Minnesota play themselves right out of the dance.
I suppose the Hawks could play themselves right out of this conversation too, but 4-1 and one win in the BTT I still think gets them in.
 


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