Last 6 Years Mock Playoff

[JonDMiller]

CBS looked at the last 6 yrs as if a playoff existed: cbsprt.co/LCw7BK

I did the same back on 6/4: bit.ly/JSPcxK

Neither of us ever included Boise State. Boise's ONLY chance is to join a league where they play a tougher regular season schedule. They will NOT EVER go through another five or six year span as good as they just had. They were 74-6. The next nearest team in least losses during that span was TCU's 12...then the nearest BCS school was LSU's 16....and Boise never would have made it.

 

[JonDMiller]

Also in 2008, Ball State was 12-0 before the MAC title game, but just 12th in the BCS standings...had they won it, they still would not have made it...Boise was 12-0, too..and just 8th.

I really think we'll see a mass exodus from FBS in the next decade...40 to 45% of the schools in FBS have ZERO chance or less than 1% of ever making the Top Four.

 

[bcl20]

I think the 4 game playoff is the just the beginning of things to come. Stuff like this seems to always evolve in sports and I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually see a bigger college football playoff (somewhere around 16 teams years from now). The amount of teams involved in every other sports playoff has gotten larger over the years.

In college football it has gone from no playoff, to two teams to now 4.

 

[20eyes]

Also in 2008, Ball State was 12-0 before the MAC title game, but just 12th in the BCS standings...had they won it, they still would not have made it...Boise was 12-0, too..and just 8th.

I really think we'll see a mass exodus from FBS in the next decade...40 to 45% of the schools in FBS have ZERO chance or less than 1% of ever making the Top Four.

Which makes it really suck to be W. Kentucky, S. Alabama & Texas State...

I have to agree. Will there eventually be D1, D1AA & D1AAA?

 

[treychase]

OSU on that list 3 times, Mich once. None the last 3 yrs.

I'm sure the B1G will turn it around though.

 

[eveningnewsteam]

I dont see a mass exodus. A 12-0 Ball State team had basically no chance to play for a national title under the old system either.

 

[treychase]

Also in 2008, Ball State was 12-0 before the MAC title game, but just 12th in the BCS standings...had they won it, they still would not have made it...Boise was 12-0, too..and just 8th.

I really think we'll see a mass exodus from FBS in the next decade...40 to 45% of the schools in FBS have ZERO chance or less than 1% of ever making the Top Four.

How is that different than yesterday?
I don't think its about W/L's as much as it is about the pooled money from the BCS, now playoff. As long as that pooled money is there its the carrot these schools are running after IMO.

And every indication is that that pooled money is going to INCREASE. That's why the other conferences signed off on this.

 

[pmchawk]

something I think they should consider is charging 50% more $ for tickets through schools therefore the winning teams fans who had purchased the tickets for the 1st game wouldn't have to pay for the CC Game tickets. Either that or something similar.

 

[DwayneTwill]

OSU on that list 3 times, Mich once. None the last 3 yrs.

I'm sure the B1G will turn it around though.

Wow. Three years. It's over.

 

[JonDMiller]

I dont see a mass exodus. A 12-0 Ball State team had basically no chance to play for a national title under the old system either.

They have little to no chance now...and if Strength of Schedule becomes a stated and clear part of the new system, these FBS bottom dwellers will no longer have the Sugar Daddy road payouts they have enjoyed, and they will also have fewer teams looking to schedule them because of the hit to SOS.

 

[treychase]

Wow. Three years. It's over.

Haven't won diddly since 2002.
But you go ahead and ignore the facts with your brilliant, fact filled responses.

Once again, I understand people not being able to rationally look at this. We want the B1G to do well. I want them to do well. But just because we want it really really bad doesn't mean its going to happen. The B1G has some massive competitive disadvantage issues currently & ignoring those will not make it go away. Shaking your head in disagreement doesn't change the fact that the population is shifting south, gnawing your teeth because the SEC has lesser academic standards allowing them access to greater numbers of better athletes doesn't change it. You're acting like Jim Delany can push a reset button in his office and things will go back to the way they were two decades ago. Things have changed. Its life.

 

[ssckelley]

Also in 2008, Ball State was 12-0 before the MAC title game, but just 12th in the BCS standings...had they won it, they still would not have made it...Boise was 12-0, too..and just 8th.

I really think we'll see a mass exodus from FBS in the next decade...40 to 45% of the schools in FBS have ZERO chance or less than 1% of ever making the Top Four.

I disagree, as long as the bowl system remains intact they have enough incentive to stay a FBS school. Now if the bowl system caves and they expand the playoffs without including these mid majors then you may see them leave.

Like another poster said they had no chance of getting in the NC game even before the playoff system.

 

[BryceC]

I really think we'll see a mass exodus from FBS in the next decade...40 to 45% of the schools in FBS have ZERO chance or less than 1% of ever making the Top Four.

Which is about .2% chance less than they had 2 days ago. I don't see why that would make the least bit of difference.

 

[PCBHAWK]

Four playoff games with BSC top 16 and have bowls for another 16 teams.

 

[spudhawk]

I understand why Jon thinks FBS programs will drop, but outlined why I disagree in the other play off thread. The only way that happens is if they limit payout to the conferences that appear in the playoff or they expand the play off to 8 teams and roll back regular season games to 11 games. Ideally the first thing they would do with the new money is fund all 85 scholarships for every D1 school.

If schools want to play D1AA schools it should be like a preseason game that doesn't count towards your record. I would pay to see Iowa scrimmage UNI in August and most schools could do this. That makes money for the for eveyone and would really help every team involved.

 

[treychase]

I understand why Jon thinks FBS programs will drop, but outlined why I disagree in the other play off thread. The only way that happens is if they limit payout to the conferences that appear in the playoff or they expand the play off to 8 teams and roll back regular season games to 11 games. Ideally the first thing they would do with the new money is fund all 85 scholarships for every D1 school.

If schools want to play D1AA schools it should be like a preseason game that doesn't count towards your record. I would pay to see Iowa scrimmage UNI in August and most schools could do this. That makes money for the for eveyone and would really help every team involved.

Title IX

 

[homes]

Boise's ONLY chance is to join a league where they play a tougher regular season schedule.

Then this is what they need to do. Because they'll always be the team on the outside, looking in. Whether it's the 5th team in a 4 team playoff, or the 9th team in an 8 team playoff, and so on.

They can still keep the bowl games for those not in the playoff, and it will still mean what it's always meant for the vast majority of teams going to a bowl in the past - a reward for a good/decent season.

The only further change I see is once they realize how financially successful this 4 team playoff will be, they will expand the number of teams in the playoff.

Whether teams want to drop out of the FBS is up to them, but why would they have more incentive now than they did back then? Their relative chances of making the playoffs are virtually the same. Play better schools if you want to play for a NC. You weren't getting in before either.

 

[spudhawk]

I understand why Jon thinks FBS programs will drop, but outlined why I disagree in the other play off thread. The only way that happens is if they limit payout to the conferences that appear in the playoff or they expand the play off to 8 teams and roll back regular season games to 11 games. Ideally the first thing they would do with the new money is fund all 85 scholarships for every D1 school. If schools want to play D1AA schools it should be like a preseason game that doesn't count towards your record. I would pay to see Iowa scrimmage UNI in August and most schools could do this. That makes money for the for eveyone and would really help every team involved.

Title IX

Title IX has nothing to do with this. I don't understand your implication. The new TV money isn't giving schools more mens sports, it can fully fund existing scholarships. I know that won't happen as basically the playoff was negotiated by 4 conferences and there is no way they will evenly distribute the money to schools in the MAC or MWC, but that is what they should do with the money.

 

[treychase]

Title IX has nothing to do with this. I don't understand your implication. The new TV money isn't giving schools more mens sports, it can fully fund existing scholarships. I know that won't happen as basically the playoff was negotiated by 4 conferences and there is no way they will evenly distribute the money to schools in the MAC or MWC, but that is what they should do with the money.

You implied paying for the 85 football scholarships for each D1 school.
However, there is zero percent chance that happens without equal funds being distributed to women. Less than zero.

As for sharing this with all the conferences/schools. I disagree with you. Without the Alabama's, Michigans, USC's there isn't any of this money, so the Central Michigan's should not get an equal share. Should the B1G & Pac share the Rose Bowl? Let everyone have a turn. That's ridiculous. They built that game into what it is today. They shouldn't share it with anyone. Honestly, the power conferences shouldn't share ANY of this money and the only reason they do is for scheduling purposes. And the fear of being sued.

 

[HawkPrdatr40]

They have little to no chance now...and if Strength of Schedule becomes a stated and clear part of the new system, these FBS bottom dwellers will no longer have the Sugar Daddy road payouts they have enjoyed, and they will also have fewer teams looking to schedule them because of the hit to SOS.

Let's not get over dramatic.They had little to no chance then and now. It's Ball State!!