Last 5 at home, Indy's average margin of victory = 18.6. Home against peer-level teams like Purdue & Nebraska and the average is 28.5. Line = Indy -13
I'll go with Indy 78 - Hawks 65. Both are pretty good against the spread and that makes it a push (as Iowa scores a meaningless trey at the end).
No message-board meltdown at the end. However, there will be a mini-meltdown mid-way through the first as Iowa jumps out to a 6 or 7 point lead, Fran does a line-change and it quickly evaporates, Indiana dials it in and, while not as bad as at Michigan, takes control of the game the rest of the way.