I've been thinking about Northwestern and yes, they have had our number, but it seems like every damn year they get some lucky breaks against us. In 05 they had the onside kick late (How often do teams recover onside kicks). In 08' they recovered 4 fumbles and Greene got hurt. (when was the last time Iowa fumbled that many times. I bet it was this game and I bet it was the only game in a while this happened.) In 09 they had the Stanzi injury.
It seems like these guys always keep it close and then get some breaks. We are better than them. We always have been. They have a good coach who keeps it close and then they take advantage of some luck. Play like we should against them this week and we beat them by a couple of scores. I think we win will because the odds of them getting the breaks like they have in most of their wins are low.
I like Iowa winning 27-17. I'll go with that.