History, Parity, College FBall and Iowa

MissouriHerk

Well-Known Member
I'm just another hawk fan hoping for glory this season, while holding down the fort on the inside in case of disaster. What did the blackheartgoldpants guy say in anticipation of this season, glory or "f bombs galore"?

But to take a step back and look at where we are and where we fit, having been a fan of college football for (only) 20-odd years and having studied to some extent the history of college football, I can't help but think we set up pretty nicely.

I don't think I'm saying anything that you don't already know, but for fifteen years, approximately, real parody has crept into college football, despite the resistance of the media powers, and historically elite programs. Historical powers like to be gloated upon and talked about, and major television media is happy to do it, as it creates "marquee matchups" featuring those schools. As a Big Ten guy, just being a member of the Big Ten, the most historically significant conference, we get our share of the benefit of this system. The computer BCS system is driven 2/3 by man-made polls, pollsters who actually like history to repeat itself. This is why Iowa is so often underrated as compared to other Big Ten schools (until this year).

But almost every elite program has gone through down years unlike they did before fifteen years ago, and most have been upset a time or two by schools who previously would have been warm-up games. Oklahoma (pre-Stoops), Nebraska (before last year), Notre Dame (no kidding?), Michigan, Alabama (pre-Saban), USC (pre-Carroll), Texas had some down years, Texas A&M (now), Penn St. (just a few years ago for a few year stretch when Paterno was almost asked to go), Auburn (recent memory without great success), Tennessee (now), and on and on.

This is because high school talent is willing to play for a less-than-elite program if it means they can get playing time as NFL teams scout far beyond the elite. I don't watch the NFL much, but when I do you see guys from all kinds of schools. That never happened in the past. Michigan could have the three worst seasons in a row since the 50s. Teams like Boise St., Utah, TCU, have had great seasons and have beaten perennial powers. Other mid-majors have found their way into the polls off and on. Last year was a great example.

The trend will continue, but who will be the first? Who will be the first school that is not a perennial elite power to win the NC? It will happen. Is it likely to be a mid-major school, or more likely to be a major school from a major conference who the media and the elite can stomach, who has had relatively sustained football success throughout recent memory (30 years), who is threatening to break into the "perennial power" mold and has a large fan base? I suggest the latter. We're due, and so is the rest of the "middle class" of college football who will be rooting for us.
(Or F-Bombs Galore)
 
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Re: History, Parody, College FBall and Iowa

I'm just another hawk fan hoping for glory this season, while holding down the fort on the inside in case of disaster. What did the blackheartgoldpants guy say in anticipation of this season, glory or "f bombs galore"?

But to take a step back and look at where we are and where we fit, having been a fan of college football for (only) 20-odd years and having studied to some extent the history of college football, I can't help but think we set up pretty nicely.

I don't think I'm saying anything that you don't already know, but for fifteen years, approximately, real parody has crept into college football, despite the resistance of the media powers, and historically elite programs. Historical powers like to be gloated upon and talked about, and major television media is happy to do it, as it creates "marquee matchups" featuring those schools. As a Big Ten guy, just being a member of the Big Ten, the most historically significant conference, we get our share of the benefit of this system. The computer BCS system is driven 2/3 by man-made polls, pollsters who actually like history to repeat itself. This is why Iowa is so often underrated as compared to other Big Ten schools (until this year).

But almost every elite program has gone through down years unlike they did before fifteen years ago, and most have been upset a time or two by schools who previously would have been warm-up games. Oklahoma (pre-Stoops), Nebraska (before last year), Notre Dame (no kidding?), Michigan, Alabama (pre-Saban), USC (pre-Carroll), Texas had some down years, Texas A&M (now), Penn St. (just a few years ago for a few year stretch when Paterno was almost asked to go), Auburn (recent memory without great success), Tennessee (now), and on and on.

This is because high school talent is willing to play for a less-than-elite program if it means they can get playing time as NFL teams scout far beyond the elite. I don't watch the NFL much, but when I do you see guys from all kinds of schools. That never happened in the past. Michigan could have the three worst seasons in a row since the 50s. Teams like Boise St., Utah, TCU, have had great seasons and have beaten perennial powers. Other mid-majors have found their way into the polls off and on. Last year was a great example.

The trend will continue, but who will be the first? Who will be the first school that is not a perennial elite power to win the NC? It will happen. Is it likely to be a mid-major school, or more likely to be a major school from a major conference who the media and the elite can stomach, who has had relatively sustained football success throughout recent memory (30 years), who is threatening to break into the "perennial power" mold and has a large fan base? I suggest the latter. We're due, and so is the rest of the "middle class" of college football who will be rooting for us.
(Or F-Bombs Galore)


Excellent post, but the word you're looking for is "parity". Parody is what National Lampoon's used to do. To answer your question, though, I think the most likely scenario is for a "mid-major" to break through. They've all but set it up to happen this year between Boise St. and TCU. Add to that the growing trend of schools going independent for football and it makes this even more likely. If BYU puts together a schedule with two traditional powers (one early and one late) and runs the table averaging a 21-point win on their rigged cupcake schedule, I'd expect them to finish high in the BCS rankings and have a shot at the title. Once the game starts, it's really anyone's guess what happens. A lucky bounce of the ball, a fluke Colt McCoy-style injury, a gust of wind blowing a kick wide right, all of these things can happen in the BCS title game so I think once a "mid-major" makes it there, it's only a matter of time before one wins it.

The other possibility would be for a team from a weak conference (think ACC or Big East or Pac-10) to run the table in an otherwise down year and get into the NC over two-loss or one-loss traditional powers.
 
Re: History, Parody, College FBall and Iowa

;) I love Spinal Tap, but, personally, I don't see the same thing going on in college football. But maybe I'm just not paying close enough attention - it must be very subtle. ;)
 
Re: History, Parody, College FBall and Iowa

Thanks for the correction, and you make a pretty good counter-point.
 
Re: History, Parody, College FBall and Iowa

I would also say that the implementation of the BCS Title Game has caused greed among the historical powers, and this greed has caused some of the historical powers to suffer grotesque underachieving periods.

Take Michigan for example, they were calling for Lloyd Carr's head 2-3 years before his retirement because 9+ seasons and Rose Bowl births weren't enough.... Michigan hadn't seen a BCS title game since it's implementation and the fans wanted more. So then they sell out to the glamor and glitz of the spread offense and look what it had got them. Total transformation of what Michigan football was built on over the countless decades. Now they've got a totally different type of athlete in the program that will take 2-3 recruiting years to wash their hands clean of if they want to get back to Michigan Football. They've played some of the worst defense in school history, and they haven't been to a bowl game for back to back years.

Then look at Florida State. Another program that started making drastic changes year in and year out chasing the BCS title. Spoiled fan base. They were spoiled for years. BOBBY BOWDEN's FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES FINISHED IN THE TOP 5 AP FROM 1987 to 2000. That's 13 straight years. They haven't finished in the top 5 since. Their fans and athletic department should some of the blame for this.

Iowa State is another example of greed. Dan McCarney gave them a taste of the Miller High Life (you know, Insight, Independence, Humanitarian type bowls) and he even beat Iowa. What else could an Iowa State fan ask for? Well it wasn't enough for Jamie Pollard...
 
Re: History, Parody, College FBall and Iowa

I would also say that the implementation of the BCS Title Game has caused greed among the historical powers, and this greed has caused some of the historical powers to suffer grotesque underachieving periods.

Take Michigan for example, they were calling for Lloyd Carr's head 2-3 years before his retirement because 9+ seasons and Rose Bowl births weren't enough.... Michigan hadn't seen a BCS title game since it's implementation and the fans wanted more. So then they sell out to the glamor and glitz of the spread offense and look what it had got them. Total transformation of what Michigan football was built on over the countless decades. Now they've got a totally different type of athlete in the program that will take 2-3 recruiting years to wash their hands clean of if they want to get back to Michigan Football. They've played some of the worst defense in school history, and they haven't been to a bowl game for back to back years.

Then look at Florida State. Another program that started making drastic changes year in and year out chasing the BCS title. Spoiled fan base. They were spoiled for years. BOBBY BOWDEN's FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES FINISHED IN THE TOP 5 AP FROM 1987 to 2000. That's 13 straight years. They haven't finished in the top 5 since. Their fans and athletic department should some of the blame for this.

Iowa State is another example of greed. Dan McCarney gave them a taste of the Miller High Life (you know, Insight, Independence, Humanitarian type bowls) and he even beat Iowa. What else could an Iowa State fan ask for? Well it wasn't enough for Jamie Pollard...

Excellent points. I'd also point to Notre Dame and to a lesser extent Auburn as being caught up in the same "BCS or bust" fervor. One of the things that I think sets Iowa apart from the others in this regard is our desire for consistency. KF is the second-longest tenured coach in the Big Tweleven (juuuuuuust behind JoePa), and I love it that way. Even during the lean years of '05 and '06, I never wanted KF to be replaced. I remember during those times hearing rumors of him jumping to the NFL and panicking. In the end, that consistency has spared us the roller coaster rides of schools like Illinois and Michigan.

I'm not sure how much this plays into parity per se, but if most colleges only give coaches 3 years to win it all before they're on the way out then I guess every school is pretty even over the long haul.
 
Excellent points. I'd also point to Notre Dame and to a lesser extent Auburn as being caught up in the same "BCS or bust" fervor. One of the things that I think sets Iowa apart from the others in this regard is our desire for consistency. KF is the second-longest tenured coach in the Big Tweleven (juuuuuuust behind JoePa), and I love it that way. Even during the lean years of '05 and '06, I never wanted KF to be replaced. I remember during those times hearing rumors of him jumping to the NFL and panicking. In the end, that consistency has spared us the roller coaster rides of schools like Illinois and Michigan.

I'm not sure how much this plays into parity per se, but if most colleges only give coaches 3 years to win it all before they're on the way out then I guess every school is pretty even over the long haul.

I would agree as to schools not giving coaches sufficient time to implement their systems, and having too high of expectations when a coach gets 9 wins for example (Solich), and terminating the coach. This is probably in part due to BCS greed, and I do think you are right, it has contributed to the parity, or really, made it better. The elite programs didn't change with the times. The trend originates from more even distribution of talent to non-elite and mid-major programs, rather than sit as second stringers for the elites, and a better distribution of great coaches. The perennial elite power programs started to have down years, those programs' athletic directors (and spoiled alums) failed to realize that college football has changed and fired the coach, brought in another who needed more than three years (because you have to have at least three these days), fired him, and so on and so forth.
 

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