if they lose at home to Sparty and on the road to the Bugeaters, things will have to break right to be one of the 15, even if they beat the Wildcats. Only 2 teams have more than the 11 losses the Hawks have after the Ill Annoy L., One team with 11 losses currently likely will be the 16th team.
So, let's beat the Mildcats AND the Bugeaters and at least get to play in Indianapolis.