Hawkeyes Back in B1G Title Mix

JonDMiller

Publisher/Founder
At first glance on Sunday morning, the Big Ten basketball schedule didn't seem all that interesting.

Wisconsin was at Michigan and Nebraska was at Michigan State.

While I expected the Wisconsin-Michigan game to be somewhat competitive, I figured Michigan would win at home and move to 11-2 in Big Ten play, keeping the Hawkeyes two and a half games back. I expected Michigan State to mop up Nebraska at the Breslin Center and really never gave it another thought.

A funny thing happened on the way to those two teams being 11-2; they both lost.

Michigan is showing several cracks and perhaps reverting to the mean just a bit, while Michigan State's loss to the Cornhuskers is inexplicable, even without Keith Appling and Branden Dawson.

Once Iowa lost to Ohio State at home two weeks ago, I felt as though their regular season title hopes were dashed...and for the most part, that was the most likely reality. But Michigan State has lost two games since then; once to Wisconsin and now to Nebraska. Michigan has lost a few contests, too; an 18 point beat down in Iowa City and Sunday's loss at home to Wisconsin.

Now, here is what the Big Ten standings look like at the top:

10-3 Michigan
10-3 Michigan State
8-4 Iowa
8-5 Wisconsin
7-6 Ohio State

Each of those teams has played 13 games except for Iowa. If Iowa can beat Indiana on Tuesday night and move to 9-4 they most certainly have a shot at the title. Here is what each team's remaining slate looks like with home games in CAPS:

MICHIGAN: MICHIGAN STATE, at Purdue, MINNESOTA, at Illinois and INDIANA
MICHIGAN STATE: at Purdue, at Michigan, ILLINOIS, IOWA, at Ohio State
IOWA: at Indiana, WISCONSIN, at Minnesota, PURDUE, at Michigan State, ILLINOIS
WISCONSIN: at Iowa, INDIANA, at Penn State, PURDUE, at Nebraska

Here is how I'd rate remaining schedules from most challenging to least challenging:

1. Michigan State
2. Iowa
3. Michigan
4. Wisconsin

For Iowa to get a piece of its first regular season crown since the 1970's, it will probably have to run the table. Still, I think there's a better chance of that yielding a share of the title that a few weeks back...but that will also include Iowa having to win at Michigan State, a place it hasn't won since 1993.
 
1.Sparty is further handicapped by Appling's ineffectiveness. He did no bb activities for 2 wks and MSU loses 2-3. With out App, this teams offense can dissolve into feeding Payne in post for 1v1, or relying on the fading star of Gary Harris to create, with few other scoring options. So i'd look for MSU to continue to struggle vs good defensive teams, like @tOSU and Iowa as they did vs Wisconsin and Nebraska.

2. I think we must continue to expect the unexpected. Saying Wisky has the easiest schedule is like saying I'm the 4th guy to walk thru the mind field, easier than the the 1st guy, but not easy.

3. Without question, the Iowa players must feel like the season has 'restarted' for them. They have been given a 2nd chance and once more must have the feeling that they hold their destiny in their own hands again.

How the players and how Fran chooses to use this second chance will be determine if this is a team worthy of The Journey...
 

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