BTT #3 Seed Still Possible

[DunderMifflinHk]

http://bball.notnothing.net/b10bracket.php

Here is how I got Iowa there:

#3 - Iowa - beats Indiana and NW - (12-6)
#4 - MSU - beats Purdue and loses to Indiana (11-7)
#5 - OSU - beats PSU and loses to Wisc (11-7)
#6 - Purdue - loses to MSU and Indiana (11-7)
#7 - Indiana - loses to Iowa and beats MSU (10-8)
#8 - Illinois - beats Nebraska and Purdue (10-8)

This gives us a night game on Thursday with a likely rematch with Purdue and then most likely Maryland on Saturday, followed by Wisconsin on Sunday.

 

[mopkins]

If Iowa wins out they have a very good chance of getting a double bye.

 

[Tratzman]

http://bball.notnothing.net/b10bracket.php

Here is how I got Iowa there:

#3 - Iowa - beats Indiana and NW - (12-6)
#4 - MSU - beats Purdue and loses to Indiana (11-7)
#5 - OSU - beats PSU and loses to Wisc (11-7)
#6 - Purdue - loses to MSU and Indiana (11-7)
#7 - Indiana - loses to Iowa and beats MSU (10-8)
#8 - Illinois - beats Nebraska and Purdue (10-8)

This gives us a night game on Thursday with a likely rematch with Purdue and then most likely Maryland on Saturday, followed by Wisconsin on Sunday.

I like how you think but those odds are pretty astronomical. You'd have to have at least a half-dozen games go our way. The #4 seed is more realistic if we take care of business and win the next two. Indiana is 6-1 at home, so our winning both is a fairly large "if". I do think we match up well with the Hoosiers. We can exploit them inside. Defensively, they're way below average.

 

[PCHawk]

Actually, if we win out, the only games that matter are MSU beating Purdue and losing to Indiana, and Purdue losing to Illinois. Those odds aren't really all that bad.

 

[Tratzman]

Actually, if we win out, the only games that matter are MSU beating Purdue and losing to Indiana, and Purdue losing to Illinois. Those odds aren't really all that bad.

I'll give us a 40% chance we win out, 65% chance MSU wins at home vs Purdue, 60% chance Indiana beats MSU at home and a 35% chance Purdue loses at home vs Illinois.

Multiplying that all together gives us around approximately a 5% chance of this scenario coming true, although I'd love for it to happen

 

[OUTofTOWNHAWK]

90% of the time it works every time.

 

[bcl20]

I'll give us a 40% chance we win out, 65% chance MSU wins at home vs Purdue, 60% chance Indiana beats MSU at home and a 35% chance Purdue loses at home vs Illinois.

Multiplying that all together gives us around approximately a 5% chance of this scenario coming true, although I'd love for it to happen

I see it as relying on some favourites to win and some 50/50 games to go out way ( I don't agree at all that illinois has only a 35 percent chance to win.)

 

[HuckFinn]

We need Yogi Berra to add a post to this thread...

 

[pmchawk]

2nd is still possible!

 

[STILLBUSTER]

I like that it still gets a rematch with Purdue (#6) but am not sure I want to face Maryland (#2) again right now. Still, it's the easiest path to the finals and another shot to upset Wisky.

 

[WindsorHawk]

I like that it still gets a rematch with Purdue (#6) but am not sure I want to face Maryland (#2) again right now. Still, it's the easiest path to the finals and another shot to upset Wisky.

Maryland has not been good away from home in Big 10 play. They beat MSU early in double overtime. But they lost by 16 or more on the road against Indiana, Ohio State and Iowa. It won't surprise me if they lose the 2-7 game on Friday of the BTT. And I don't care which team ends up in 7th...especially when considering the 7th place team may very well need that win to make the NCAA Tournament.