B1G records vs winning teams (10 year window)

uihawk82

Well-Known Member
That is a pretty good spot for jNW being ahead of Nebby. haha

I suppose these are wins or loses against an opponent's end of year record but maybe not their record when the games were played.

Iowa fares pretty well against tough, winning teams. Good for the hawks. And OSU has been the cream of the crop for a long time.
 

Northside Hawk

Well-Known Member
Evidently many teams in this league struggle to beat "anybody with a pulse".

Listen to some Nancy's on this board and you would swear only Iowa had that problem.
 

Seth53

Well-Known Member
I re-arranged the data into how many games were played vs winning teams per B1G team

1. O$U 79
2. Sparty 74
3. Bucky 72
4. Debbie 71
5. SCum 70
5. Pur-don't 70
7. jNW 68
7. Indy 68
9. Pedo 67
9. Ill-Whine-I 67
11. Hawks 66
12. Turps 65
13. Boat Rowers 63
14. Buttgers 61
 
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ChosenChildren

Well-Known Member
Certainly Iowa has been the second best team in the West, behind Wisconsin.

Big East is interesting.....they have 4 of the best 6 teams but the three worst teams by far.

Overall records by Division:

East 192-292 39%
West 161-316 34%

East is clearly the better Division. I guess I was the last one on earth to realize that, although if you kick out Ohio State the East winning percentage drops to 125-280, only 31%!!!!
 

ChosenChildren

Well-Known Member
During the previous 13 years of the Ferentz era, Iowa was 19-29 against ranked teams (1999 through 2011).

Overall, Ferentz is 48-66 against ranked teams (42% winning percentage).

Iowa averages about 2 wins per year against ranked teams and about 3 losses during the entire Ferentz era.

Iowa averages about 6 wins per year against unranked teams and about 2 losses during the entire Ferentz era..

Overall, Ferentz averages about 8 wins per year and about 5 losses (.615) during his 23 years.

The conclusion is that any seasons under Ferent above 8 wins is an above average season. 8 wins is an average season, and below 8 wins is a below average season.
 
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guffus

Well-Known Member
During the previous 13 years of the Ferentz era, Iowa was 19-29 against ranked teams (1999 through 2011).

Overall, Ferentz is 48-66 against ranked teams (42% winning percentage).

Iowa averages about 2 wins per year against ranked teams and about 3 losses during the entire Ferentz era.

Iowa averages about 6 wins per year against unranked teams and about 2 losses during the entire Ferentz era..

Overall, Ferentz averages about 8 wins per year and about 5 losses (.615) during his 23 years.

The conclusion is that any seasons under Ferent above 8 wins is an above average season. 8 wins is an average season, and below 8 wins is a below average season.
Or to sum up the Kirk Ferentz Average season.
2-3 against ranked schools
6-2 against unranked schools
8-5 overall
 

NorthKCHawk

Well-Known Member
Although I think we have seen a better trendline the last 5-7 years and recruiting has also upticked the last few cycles. If you go back to 2015 (and you extrapolate the pandemic year) I think an average year for KF right now is10 wins. I know that is cherry picking, but 7 years is enough to show a trend.
 

HawkGold

Well-Known Member
Certainly Iowa has been the second best team in the West, behind Wisconsin.

Big East is interesting.....they have 4 of the best 6 teams but the three worst teams by far.

Overall records by Division:

East 192-292 39%
West 161-316 34%

East is clearly the better Division. I guess I was the last one on earth to realize that, although if you kick out Ohio State the East winning percentage drops to 125-280, only 31%!!!!
NW might argue about that....about the clearly...
 

guffus

Well-Known Member
Although I think we have seen a better trendline the last 5-7 years and recruiting has also upticked the last few cycles. If you go back to 2015 (and you extrapolate the pandemic year) I think an average year for KF right now is10 wins. I know that is cherry picking, but 7 years is enough to show a trend.
Hmmm..Hmm...

I believe you. I just like doing the math. Agree 7 years is kinda cherry picking. How about the last 10 years since 2012
4-8
8-5
7-6
12-2
8-5
8-5
9-4
10-3
6-2 (projected to 10-3)
10-4

That's 82-43 overall (projected to 86-44)

That's roughly an average of 8.5 wins 4.5 losses.

Including the 2012 season really skews the numbers down, but the good news is that next year you can finally throw out that 2012 clunker when looking at the 10-year average.
 

CP87

Well-Known Member
Hmmm..Hmm...

I believe you. I just like doing the math. Agree 7 years is kinda cherry picking. How about the last 10 years since 2012
4-8
8-5
7-6
12-2
8-5
8-5
9-4
10-3
6-2 (projected to 10-3)
10-4

That's 82-43 overall (projected to 86-44)

That's roughly an average of 8.5 wins 4.5 losses.

Including the 2012 season really skews the numbers down, but the good news is that next year you can finally throw out that 2012 clunker when looking at the 10-year average.

And here is the last 10 years of recruiting rankings (247 overall rank, starting in 2013)...

56
58
59
47
41
39
45
35
27
38

If you looked at defensive efficiency rankings over that span, you would see a similar trend towards improvement. Same with special teams efficiency rankings. We have so much reason to feel good about the program, so much reason for optimism moving forward. But there's that one thing...
 

Motigerhawk

Well-Known Member
Dude, any program with BF as their OC AND QB coach cannot be bad. An offensive lineman teaching our QBs is something that cannot go wrong. And when in doubt, outside stretch run to the short side of the field.
 

HuckFinn

Well-Known Member
I know evaluation of past performance is of interest to Hawkeye fans. OK. The fact remains that the past says little about what lies ahead. So, I glance at the past and say, “hmm” and then focus on the next season. Frankly, detailed obsession over Iowa’s previous records seems of little value from my perspective. Just a curiosity.
 

Knight78

Well-Known Member
Dude, any program with BF as their OC AND QB coach cannot be bad. An offensive lineman teaching our QBs is something that cannot go wrong. And when in doubt, outside stretch run to the short side of the field.
Then I guess Michigan is going to have a heck of a QB then because their coach has absolutely no prior experience as a QB coach and never even attended a college football practice.
 

ChosenChildren

Well-Known Member
I know evaluation of past performance is of interest to Hawkeye fans. OK. The fact remains that the past says little about what lies ahead. So, I glance at the past and say, “hmm” and then focus on the next season. Frankly, detailed obsession over Iowa’s previous records seems of little value from my perspective. Just a curiosity.
Obsession over past decisions and results pretty well sums up the content of most of this message board.
 

NCHawker

Well-Known Member
During the previous 13 years of the Ferentz era, Iowa was 19-29 against ranked teams (1999 through 2011).

Overall, Ferentz is 48-66 against ranked teams (42% winning percentage).

Iowa averages about 2 wins per year against ranked teams and about 3 losses during the entire Ferentz era.

Iowa averages about 6 wins per year against unranked teams and about 2 losses during the entire Ferentz era..

Overall, Ferentz averages about 8 wins per year and about 5 losses (.615) during his 23 years.

The conclusion is that any seasons under Ferent above 8 wins is an above average season. 8 wins is an average season, and below 8 wins is a below average season.

good stuff there. It wasn't long ago that the 8 was a 7.5 or 7+. They've been trending up but my expectations seem to be out in front of them
 

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