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I mean I don't disagree with you. But that's not what Fry is saying he's heard. He said it's all based on this one mystery candidate. It's not - at least according to what he's heard - a situation where Iowa has decided to move on from Kirk and there is one candidate at the top of the list.

I know what you are saying, but there are some added layers of complexity to this where the marriage analogy falls short. Kirk is likely close to retiring soon. On some level, he knows Goetz and the donors need to actively plan for that day. Plus, one parent already excommunicated the oldest...

I pretty much agree with your entire take. The issue is there is still a lot of money to be used as leverage. Maybe Kirk and Cornrich say he is excited to coach for years to come. So if Iowa is going in another direction we'll need that $25M. At the same time, and to your point, if Beth and...

Also, if this is happening, I'd have to think it is only a matter of days before an announcement is made. With the singular January portal, Iowa couldn't wait until the bowl before moving forward. If this truly unfolds, perhaps Kirk stays through the bowl but I'd think we'd learn about it within...

I smell what you are stepping in. I'd think Iowa would have to be prepared to pay the $25M though, unless there are details we aren't privy too. We have any skepticism about that?

That’s not what Fryowa is saying. He is saying this is a decision independent of Kirk. There is a specific mystery candidate. Fryowa’s best guess, based on his intel from multiple sources, is that it’s 90% plus odds that this mystery candidate will be coaching Iowa next season. He won’t tell us...

Sort of a head scratcher that anyone would think a Mountain West coach getting fired after going 18-26 would be a good fit at Iowa.

We need at least two pieces of information. This can be on a "background" basis only. Currently a head coach? Any previous ties to the Hawks?

Fryowa is reporting an inside scoop. Iowa is targeting a candidate that presumably will only be available for a short window. His best guess, spit-ballin' estimate is 93% that Iowa hires this mystery candidate.

Well, if we are talking moonshots here, how about Lanning? He was just in Iowa City. Maybe he had his agent drop a hint to a mega donor or to Beth. If it is someone like that, I can see why Iowa's administration would move fast to kick its 70 year old statue coach to the curb. Those are once in...

That's what I was thinking too. There are also ageism issues to consider from a risk standpoint. These break ups can cause indigestion for both sides. If Beth is making a move, I'd guess she is assuming they'll need a $25M parachute for Kirk. And I can't really see her messing this one up...

So theoretically Kirk would be back if they can't land this person?

I'm not calling bullshit - just fascinated by it. But come on man. You said you are very confident - over 93% - that this is Kirk's last season. You said it all "hinges on Iowa (not KF) getting who they're after." You are 100% confident that Iowa's after someone specific, and you know that...

Any chance we are talking Kalen DeBoer here? My friend in the UW athletic department said his staff was super pissed at him for leaving. It was the one time they weren't excited to follow him. Everyone liked where they were and the stability. According to him, it sounded like DeBoer had mixed...

Give us the name you are so confident is replacing Kirk. Isn't this what message boards are for?

Exactly. Lateral hire is optimistic, and WITH baggage (fair or not). And while I think he is a good coach, three of his last four conference records were 1-8. That's in the Big Ten West! 3-24 combined in 3 of his last 4 years. By comparison, Kirk has only had one conference record that poor in...

Can't wait to watch. For a guy who grew up watching Iowa men's basketball in the '80s (even when Vivian had things rocking for the women), it took me a long time to really get into Iowa women's basketball. But the past few years, it's been the Iowa team (of any sport) I've most enjoyed...

Also, is it unreasonable to think the following? Kirk very discreetly let Wilson and Goetz know his thought process, that he is ready to step down after the season and he'd like to make his strong recommendation that Wallace be given the gig and that Kirk will help with the transition. And...

If it is true that the athletic department is pursuing a candidate, and they don't pull it off this year, then I think there is a good chance Kirk quits in April-June. I think he'd tell his staff around March or so, ask them to stay quiet about it for the time being but give them a heads-up to...

Not the worst thought, but I don't see it. Fitz would be a hire that you hope keeps you at 9-4 and 8-5; not someone you push Kirk out for. Plus, more importantly, I don't think Fitz would have anything to do with any conversation that he sensed might result in Kirk getting pushed out before he...