Obviously depends on development and transfer portal, but I think 7-5 is the (unlikely) floor here, with 9-3 the most likely, and 8-11 wins all conceivable.
Just do group play for seeding in the conferences. Non-con games do not matter for playoff purposes. They're for you to 1. make money and 2. prep for games that matter.
Quibbling about the 20th ranked team getting in over the 11th ranked (or similar) because the “worse” team won their conference is dumb. The best 8-10 teams are getting in with a couple others that played their way in. #11 ain’t winning a natty anyhow. It will be okay.
There are too many teams...
IMO they shouldn’t get a boost from not playing a conference championship game. Join a conference or win 11 games. Their choice.
Ironically, they easily win the ACC this year and would probably be the four or five seed. Alas.
No model that results in an 8-5 Duke making the playoffs is a good one. I get the sentiment, but no. Big 12 and ACC should not have autobids. We should stop pretending they’re “power” conferences anymore.
I largely agree with this, but the bigger issue here as the lack of parity within conferences. How many Big 12 champions made the playoffs without a semifinal win? Obviously the weakest “power” conference, and has been since the playoffs began. I honestly think the only auto-bids should be the...