Projection Iowa's 2010 Football Statistics
- Thread starter JonDMiller
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JonDMiller
Publisher/Founder
I totally agree with you on the kickoff aspect for the defense and talked about it recently...if Jonny can come in and win the job and become an asset in this regard, that sets up this great defense and shortens the field for the offense to where it can be more productive points wise without having a linear increase in production yards wise or third down conversion wise.
I also agree big time about the kickoff aspect.
If the Jonny kid can consistently produce touchbacks and Donahue can continue to consistently pin opponents inside the 20 with his punts, the Hawk offense will be set up with a lot shorter fields and thus generate a lot more scoring opportunities.
Jon/Patrick - Do either of you guys feel the Jonny kid is good enough to compete for the Place Kicking starting spot over Murray/Mossbrucker, and if not, who do you both feel is the best option for Place Kicking duty this fall?
If the Jonny kid can consistently produce touchbacks and Donahue can continue to consistently pin opponents inside the 20 with his punts, the Hawk offense will be set up with a lot shorter fields and thus generate a lot more scoring opportunities.
Jon/Patrick - Do either of you guys feel the Jonny kid is good enough to compete for the Place Kicking starting spot over Murray/Mossbrucker, and if not, who do you both feel is the best option for Place Kicking duty this fall?
homerHAWKeye777
Well-Known Member
Good stuff Patrick!
I was thinking about some of that stuff myself and it appears that we BOTH think that Stanzi will land in .610 completion territory in 2010.
One small departure that I see, and it is just a small one, is that I'm a little surprised by the yardage per completion that your predicting for Stanzi. I'll agree that his average of 14.13 yards per completion in 2009 is a bit over the top ... however, he still averaged 13.04 yards per completion in 2008 and that was with the benefit of having Greene and Hampton powering the running game. Thus, as I see it, with a renewed emphasis on the run and being a bit more calculated about taking shots down the field ... a fair prediction for yards per completion in 2010 would be something more like 13.2. That would then lead to Stanzi passing for around 2719 yards. LOL ... am I splitting hairs!
I'm very intrigued by your prediction of seeing us have only 12 more plays on O ... albeit featuring 25 more rush attempts. I can definitely see that scenario occurring too. However, I can't help but think that the passing game will have to get tapped a little bit more than either of us would prefer in order to help open up the running game a bit more. I'm not sure how quickly I see our run blocking coming around. Of course, don't get me wrong ... I think that the prediction concerning production on the ground is about right on ... I just anticipate that the D and ST will give the O more plays to work with. Furthermore, I think that the O will turn over the ball less ... and thus the O will give itself more plays to work with too. And with the increased number of plays, I think that we'll see more passing yardage. Of course, the thing that I don't like about that is that Iowa's O tends to be less efficient the more that they throw the ball.
I was thinking about some of that stuff myself and it appears that we BOTH think that Stanzi will land in .610 completion territory in 2010.
One small departure that I see, and it is just a small one, is that I'm a little surprised by the yardage per completion that your predicting for Stanzi. I'll agree that his average of 14.13 yards per completion in 2009 is a bit over the top ... however, he still averaged 13.04 yards per completion in 2008 and that was with the benefit of having Greene and Hampton powering the running game. Thus, as I see it, with a renewed emphasis on the run and being a bit more calculated about taking shots down the field ... a fair prediction for yards per completion in 2010 would be something more like 13.2. That would then lead to Stanzi passing for around 2719 yards. LOL ... am I splitting hairs!
I'm very intrigued by your prediction of seeing us have only 12 more plays on O ... albeit featuring 25 more rush attempts. I can definitely see that scenario occurring too. However, I can't help but think that the passing game will have to get tapped a little bit more than either of us would prefer in order to help open up the running game a bit more. I'm not sure how quickly I see our run blocking coming around. Of course, don't get me wrong ... I think that the prediction concerning production on the ground is about right on ... I just anticipate that the D and ST will give the O more plays to work with. Furthermore, I think that the O will turn over the ball less ... and thus the O will give itself more plays to work with too. And with the increased number of plays, I think that we'll see more passing yardage. Of course, the thing that I don't like about that is that Iowa's O tends to be less efficient the more that they throw the ball.
spudhawk
Well-Known Member
One reason I have so many more rushing attempts is I think there is the potential for Iowa to have 10+ point leads in the 4th quarter of several games this season. If that happens the tendency for this staff is to take the air out of the ball and to run out the clock. I think that will especially be true with this defense's ability to defend the pass. So if Iowa has a healthy tailback or two I think they will pound the ball at the end of games (see Wisconsin, Penn State, or Georgia Tech last season). Iowa doesn't usually run up the score with the passing game.
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CoolRunnin66
Banned
Those offensive stats would suggest the 2nd best offense under KF, correct? In '02 had something like 5500 yards of total offense (almost evenly split run/pass). These number would suggest ~5000 yards of total offense or in the neighborhood of 400 yards/game. While those numbers seem reasonable on the surface I think we're either a QB capable of making plays with his feet or a stout offensive line away from accomplishing this. That being said, we have the QB, receivers, and RB's capable of making this happen.
A team stat that jumped out at me was the ~3000 yards passing. While those numbers aren't going to remind anybody of Air Coryell, they would suggest a departure from the usual for KF/KOK especially compared to the rushing statistics.
A team stat that jumped out at me was the ~3000 yards passing. While those numbers aren't going to remind anybody of Air Coryell, they would suggest a departure from the usual for KF/KOK especially compared to the rushing statistics.
homerHAWKeye777
Well-Known Member
Patrick -
I agree. The issue is that I still see us having luck moving the ball on the ground late in the game ... even with the backups in when we have the lead. Furthermore, even though the coaches won't purposely run up the score, the coaches still will allow the backup QBs to pass the ball to convert on 3rd down.
HaydensDad
Well-Known Member
Enjoyable read. I always like Patrick's stuff.
1923 rushing yards? How many did we have last year? I was thinking it was about 1300. We lost most of the Oline. I think we will be fine, but 1900 yards is probably pretty optimistic for an inexperience Oline.
Also 12/6 fumbles seems high. I believe Paki lost 1 and that was all last year.
1923 rushing yards? How many did we have last year? I was thinking it was about 1300. We lost most of the Oline. I think we will be fine, but 1900 yards is probably pretty optimistic for an inexperience Oline.
Also 12/6 fumbles seems high. I believe Paki lost 1 and that was all last year.
