Nebraska a must?

L

longtimer

Well-Known Member
I think we need to win Tuesday night to have a chance to get into tournament. We aren’t going to beat them or Wisconsin on the road and Michigan is probably best team in country
We need to win Tuesday night and then beat Ohio State and Penn State which is not a sure thing to be a sure entry. I don’t think winning 2 more is going to do it
Would really help us maybe in the portal if we could get in and maybe win a game
 
longtimer said:
I think we need to win Tuesday night to have a chance to get into tournament. We aren’t going to beat them or Wisconsin on the road and Michigan is probably best team in country
We need to win Tuesday night and then beat Ohio State and Penn State which is not a sure thing to be a sure entry. I don’t think winning 2 more is going to do it
Would really help us maybe in the portal if we could get in and maybe win a game
Click to expand...
2-4 to end, making us 10-10 and 20-11 overall absolutely gets us in unless we lay a GIGANTIC egg in our first round BTT game. Now if we get blown out 4 times, that could impact our metrics enough to drop us out but I don't see it. We are still 25th in Kenpom and 27 in NET. We are lacking that "signature win", so Nebraska would fill that requirement, but I think that is just about improving our seed.
 
Me too. Lol. The analytics have sure liked us this year. If you stay top 40 in kenpom, historically that's like 97% chance for an at-large.
 
Sorry, over the past 5 seasons, it's 93% top 40 and 98% if top 30. That's somewhat rudimentary, as he does keep updating during the tournament. But that's not going to produce drastic changes across those lines.
 
longtimer said:
I think we need to win Tuesday night to have a chance to get into tournament. We aren’t going to beat them or Wisconsin on the road and Michigan is probably best team in country
We need to win Tuesday night and then beat Ohio State and Penn State which is not a sure thing to be a sure entry. I don’t think winning 2 more is going to do it
Would really help us maybe in the portal if we could get in and maybe win a game
Click to expand...
nebraska and Purdue are both predicted as 2 seeds. These are the last games we have to worry about hurting our chances. I'd love to hear your rationale for how nebraska would be a bad loss out of the games remaining on the schedule, especially when everyone on the planet already expects Iowa to lose both of them. Do you actually follow college basketball?
 
Stated in bad loss to Maryland thread... Hawks are likely 2-5 (2-4, now) chance at 3-4 and very long shot 4-3.
Might actually benefit them in Big 18 tourney for favorable seeding to win a cpl.
Thinking they're an at large 10-11. Wirst case, playin
 
A 10-10 conference record gets us in.

Let's count the Penn State game as a win. The remaining five are against ranked teams and at an OSU team that is directly sitting on the bubble. So, any one of those wins is another Quad 1 win, and frankly, anyone one of those wins is probably Iowa's best win.

To be super duper safe, I would love to see Iowa split these last 6. That would give us two signature wins, but damn, that will be tough with that schedule.

The reality is that there are a lot of opportunities for a signature win these last six games. Just gotta get hot once or twice and hope that the other team is having an off night.

But, this game against Nebbie is not must win. It would be very nice to win it and would clinch an NCAA bid if it happens.
 
Just hoping they get out of that 8-9 seed range for the tournament. I’m okay with even being a 7 seed and potentially taking on a 2 seed Iowa St. in St. Louis.
 
It’s a must win to know this team has a fighters chance to beat anyone in the tournament that is seeded ahead of them. Even at this team’s best, they only beat who they on paper probably are better than, if the teams played 4 times. But they have yet to really beat someone that is a better team.

Where’s the excitement for hoping any elements of underdog or a Cinderella story, if this team only plays to Vegas expectations. Steal a win vs a better team, and maybe the hope that an unexpected sweet 16 appearanc happens isn’t all but impossible.
 
Fryowa said:
nebraska and Purdue are both predicted as 2 seeds. These are the last games we have to worry about hurting our chances. I'd love to hear your rationale for how nebraska would be a bad loss out of the games remaining on the schedule, especially when everyone on the planet already expects Iowa to lose both of them. Do you actually follow college basketball?
Click to expand...
Didn’t say a bad loss. Just saying I think it will be tough to get in if we don’t beat them. Been watching college basketball a long time
 
Five games left. What's the realistic ceiling here? Let me put it this way. Say they go 3-2, which likely means a win at either Wisconsin or Nebraska. 12-8 in the Big Ten - that potentially get them to a 6 seed? I know none of this is in a vacuum, just spit-ballin'. I have a hard time seeing anything better than 3-2, and even that takes a bit of squinting.
 
SwirlinLingerie said:
Five games left. What's the realistic ceiling here? Let me put it this way. Say they go 3-2, which likely means a win at either Wisconsin or Nebraska. 12-8 in the Big Ten - that potentially get them to a 6 seed? I know none of this is in a vacuum, just spit-ballin'. I have a hard time seeing anything better than 3-2, and even that takes a bit of squinting.
Click to expand...
3-2 seems like the ceiling. 2-3 would be where I would place my money. We seem to be in line for a double-bye for the conference tourney as well. Let's not forget Ben seems to know a few things about winning tournaments. We could pull a quality win or two from the tourney as well.

Feels like Iowa is somewhere between a 6-8 seed for the tourney.
 
Pretty much where I land. I think 3-2 will be difficult but puts them at a 6; yet 2-3 and a 7/8 more realistic.

I don't put much stock in the conference tourney anymore. Increasingly seems like the committee wants to be done by then, and that those games don't move the needle much when it comes to seeding.

The one exception seems to be if a true bubble team goes on a run and scores 2 or 3 more quad 1 wins, then it can push them in. Or if a true bubble team suffers a bad loss to a poor team in the opening round.
 
I thought the Nebraska game was a must and I also admit I did not have a great feeling we would win going into the game. For the rest of the schedule I think 3-2 is an absolute ceiling, 2-3 more likely and it could end up 1-4. There are no gimmes left. Even Penn State, on the road, could be a challenge.
 
Last edited:
haydensly said:
I thought the Nebraska game was a must and I also admit I did not have a great feeling we would win going into the game. For the rest of the schedule I think 3-2 is an absolute ceiling, 2-3 more likely and it could end of 1-4. There are no gimmes left. Even Penn State, on the road, could be a challenge.
Click to expand...
Very true. I would settle for 2 wins as that gets us in the big dance
 
You must log in or register to reply here.


Latest posts

Share this page



Top