Based on what, though? Non-sarcastically asking.
Is there something you know about him that people don't or is it strictly a gut hunch?
Very, very rare that a guy comes from very little experience in major college football and thrives in a major conference. For every success story there are a hundred flops. As far as P5 programs, nebraska has every card stacked against it. There's literally no difference from a guy like him and Scott Frost unless you have some kind of info we don't.
What makes you think this is the dude? Genuinely curious.
I know it sounds dumb to ask, but that's what I think is misguided when it comes to nebraska and it's the same thing their fans are doing right now. Everyone thought Riley was the guy. Everyone thought Frost was the guy. I mean I get it if someone just has a crystal ball gut hunch, but it doesn't translate. Temple plays in in a conference where he gets to go after players left over after 70+ P5 teams are done picking through the litter. Baylor was a stroke of luck that he never followed up on, and even then he never won a game against decent (ranked) teams.
You get it, I get it, I don't understand why 'Braska fans don't get it. In order to be successful where Nebraska plays you cannot rely on the same offense you run in the SEC, Pac 10 or Big 8. It just doesn't work. You have to be able to play games inside of a phone booth.
Have you ever heard of Drew Brees? Arguably the best quarterback in the history of the conference. Even with Drew Brees Purdue dropped at least two conference games every year. You know why? Because Joe fucking Tiller thought he could outsmart everybody and build a team around a wide open aerial attack instead of a team that could play in a phone booth.
I've been to one game in Lincoln. It was well under 32 degrees at kickoff. If you are relying on some newfangled offense in that shit you are absolutely going to lose to almost everyone in the Big Ten except the utter trash unless you have Ohio level talent, which Nebraska won't have.
You see, Ohio has this problem now but they haven't figured it out yet. When Tressel was there he had a squad that could "out-Wisconsin Wisconsin" one week and then go play a shootout against someone else the next week and win 49-28. Ohio can't play in a phone booth anymore. That is why they damned near got shocked by Northwestern. It's why Michigan has destroyed them the past 2 years. Harbaugh has the horses to play in the phone booth now and when it is the last week of November you better be able to do that in the Big Ten. It completely cripples the conference's hopes of titles and stuff, but you have to be able to do it to win the conference.