A loss I think there is no shot. According to RPI Wizard, obviously not perfect, a loss would have them with an RPI of 81 and an SOS of 46, that’s just not going to happen. Two wins, we can all agree Iowa is in. However, the interesting scenario is if Iowa wins one.
Iowa with a win vs. and a loss against Wiscy would put them at 19-14, RPI 69 and SOS 42.
According to Bracket Matrix, the last four in are Wake, Cuse, Vandy, and Illinois State.
The last four out are URI, Illinois, KSU, and Cal. Iowa is #5.
I think Wake and Illinois State are likely in – Wake’s RPI is 32, Ill State is 30.
The interesting two are Cuse and Vandy. Vandy has only has 17 wins. If they lose in the first round of the SEC against A&M, they’d be 17-15. If that happens I don’t care what the numbers are, I don’t think the committee puts them in. If they beat A&M and lose to Florida, they’d be 18-15 but I still think they’d be in because their SOS would be #1.
Cuse will play Miami. If they lose that, it’s ova, they’d have an RPI of 85. If they win though, and lose to UNC, they’d have an RPI of 69 w/ and SOS of 41, putting them almost with the exact same resume as Iowa, so in that case let’s be honest, Cuse is getting the nod.
That leaves URI, Illinois, KSU, and Cal.
URI IMO does get in over Iowa because they have a great RPI, 2-4 vs. top 50, and there will likely be very few mid-majors with at larges this year so they’ll take a ton of heat for leaving out anybody who might be deemed worthy.
Illinois is going to play Michigan in the B10 tourney, and if they win that and lose Iowa definitely is in over them. If they win though they’d have an RPI of 57 and an SOS of 15, with two head to heads, and they’d get the nod over Iowa.
KSU has an RPI of 58. If they lose, their numbers don’t really change – RPI 58, SOS 42. However they have lost a LOT of games in the back half of their schedule and I’d give Iowa the nod over them if they do lose. If they beat Baylor however IMO they are clearly in.
Cal I don’t like – RPI of 56, 1-7 vs. top 50, Even if they beat OSU, then lose to Utah, RPI 59 SOS 55, IMO Iowa would jump them.
Regardless, the point is that I don’t think Iowa jumps many teams if they go 1-1, unless all of those teams lose. Iowa needs to root hard for Cuse, Vandy, KSU, Illinois, and Cal to lose. That really helps clear a path for them without having to win two games in DC.
Iowa with a win vs. and a loss against Wiscy would put them at 19-14, RPI 69 and SOS 42.
According to Bracket Matrix, the last four in are Wake, Cuse, Vandy, and Illinois State.
The last four out are URI, Illinois, KSU, and Cal. Iowa is #5.
I think Wake and Illinois State are likely in – Wake’s RPI is 32, Ill State is 30.
The interesting two are Cuse and Vandy. Vandy has only has 17 wins. If they lose in the first round of the SEC against A&M, they’d be 17-15. If that happens I don’t care what the numbers are, I don’t think the committee puts them in. If they beat A&M and lose to Florida, they’d be 18-15 but I still think they’d be in because their SOS would be #1.
Cuse will play Miami. If they lose that, it’s ova, they’d have an RPI of 85. If they win though, and lose to UNC, they’d have an RPI of 69 w/ and SOS of 41, putting them almost with the exact same resume as Iowa, so in that case let’s be honest, Cuse is getting the nod.
That leaves URI, Illinois, KSU, and Cal.
URI IMO does get in over Iowa because they have a great RPI, 2-4 vs. top 50, and there will likely be very few mid-majors with at larges this year so they’ll take a ton of heat for leaving out anybody who might be deemed worthy.
Illinois is going to play Michigan in the B10 tourney, and if they win that and lose Iowa definitely is in over them. If they win though they’d have an RPI of 57 and an SOS of 15, with two head to heads, and they’d get the nod over Iowa.
KSU has an RPI of 58. If they lose, their numbers don’t really change – RPI 58, SOS 42. However they have lost a LOT of games in the back half of their schedule and I’d give Iowa the nod over them if they do lose. If they beat Baylor however IMO they are clearly in.
Cal I don’t like – RPI of 56, 1-7 vs. top 50, Even if they beat OSU, then lose to Utah, RPI 59 SOS 55, IMO Iowa would jump them.
Regardless, the point is that I don’t think Iowa jumps many teams if they go 1-1, unless all of those teams lose. Iowa needs to root hard for Cuse, Vandy, KSU, Illinois, and Cal to lose. That really helps clear a path for them without having to win two games in DC.
